Reply #94: Touche. It really IS that simple. Simple math. Pure logic. Common sense.

[TruthIsAll]

As a fellow applied mathematician, who HAS crunched the numbers, I welcome your succinct input.

It's been a long haul at DU since Nov 2004. This is the FIRST time that the other side has presented a statistical analysis to show how Bush managed to defy the odds. You are witness to the result of their efforts.

We forced them to provide their analysis after we had posted literally hundreds of analytical models which overwhelmingly made the case for fraud. Finally, after interminable verbiage, they agreed to walk the walk - with real numbers.

The essence of their argument requires us to believe that Gore voters not only deserted Kerry for Bush, but that many of them forgot that they voted for Gore or lied about it- and that's why the exit polls were off. Prior to this latest hypothesis, they said the discrepancy was due to reluctance on the part of Bush voters to be exit polled. Now they are left with this.

To believe their case requires a leap of faith that would betray everything we have learned and experienced in a lifetime devoted to developing mathematical models. And the models were designed to solve problems much more complicated than this.

This problem can be solved on the back of an envelope. You just did it.