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Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform Donate to DU
Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-02-05 06:21 PM
Response to Reply #38
40. Deleted message
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  -The Reluctant Gore Responder (RGR) TruthIsAll  May-02-05 12:03 AM   #0 
  - Is this getting back to DailyKos and Febble?  kansasblue   May-02-05 12:06 AM   #1 
  - Do you think it should be? If so, you can e-mail it.  TruthIsAll   May-02-05 12:09 AM   #2 
     - Well, I'm new to this board  Febble   May-02-05 07:35 AM   #9 
        - The question is not the UCSV analysis. It is the facts in this post.  TruthIsAll   May-02-05 08:01 AM   #10 
           - Well, to be honest, I don't think they do  Febble   May-02-05 08:20 AM   #11 
              - You are avoiding the factual isues I raise in this post.  TruthIsAll   May-02-05 08:27 AM   #12 
                 - Because they reweighted the data.  Febble   May-02-05 09:05 AM   #13 
                    - The first weights were "out"? What do you mean by that? They were wrong?  TruthIsAll   May-02-05 09:34 AM   #16 
                    - I said OUT because you don't like WRONG  Febble   May-02-05 10:20 AM   #19 
                       - They didn't match WHAT? THE VOTES? WHAT IF THE VOTE COUNT WAS WRONG?  TruthIsAll   May-02-05 11:08 AM   #24 
                    - When I reweighted the state data to the votes, Kerry won..  TruthIsAll   May-02-05 09:48 AM   #17 
                       - Well in that case  Febble   May-02-05 10:22 AM   #20 
                          - You are flailing, Febble. I show the results to the nearest .01%  TruthIsAll   May-02-05 11:07 AM   #23 
                             - Yes, they are too accurate.  Febble   May-02-05 11:34 AM   #26 
                                - Dupe delete  TruthIsAll   May-02-05 11:54 AM   #28 
                                - Is the standard 95% C.L. good enough for you...  TruthIsAll   May-02-05 11:58 AM   #29 
                                   - 99% is appropriate for 50 states.  Febble   May-02-05 12:49 PM   #31 
                                      - 95% is the standard; we are looking at 2 standard deviations from the mean  TruthIsAll   May-02-05 01:56 PM   #33 
                                         - If you have fifty states  Febble   May-02-05 02:05 PM   #34 
                                         - The prob = 1/40 (2.50%)for a one-tail test , and the law of large numbers  TruthIsAll   May-02-05 02:57 PM   #35 
                                            - All that is true.  Febble   May-02-05 03:00 PM   #36 
                                               - Here is a Z-score probability analysis  TruthIsAll   May-02-05 04:03 PM   #37 
                                                  - And what factor did you use  Febble   May-02-05 04:31 PM   #38 
                                                  - Deleted message  Name removed   May-02-05 06:21 PM   #40 
                                                  - The same one that Mitofksky used in the National Exit Poll: ZERO  TruthIsAll   May-02-05 06:41 PM   #42 
                                                  - Deleted message  Name removed   May-02-05 06:46 PM   #43 
                                         - OK  Febble   May-02-05 04:51 PM   #39 
  - Deleted message  Name removed   May-02-05 12:11 AM   #3 
  - fine... I'll move on to 2006  kansasblue   May-02-05 12:17 AM   #6 
     - Deleted message  Name removed   May-02-05 12:22 AM   #7 
  - I see  kansasblue   May-02-05 12:15 AM   #4 
  - This line explains so much about election fraud. Kick & Recommended  autorank   May-02-05 12:16 AM   #5 
  - No one cares to discuss this. It's not rocket science, either.  TruthIsAll   May-02-05 01:04 AM   #8 
     - Do you know the mean response rates  Febble   May-02-05 09:12 AM   #14 
        - So far, your response rate in explaining the 19 facts is ZERO.  TruthIsAll   May-02-05 09:21 AM   #15 
           - I give up.  Febble   May-02-05 10:02 AM   #18 
              - Your responses have me convinced.  TruthIsAll   May-02-05 10:26 AM   #21 
                 - Before you both give up, could you answer two quick questions?  pgh_dem   May-02-05 10:50 AM   #22 
                    - OK  Febble   May-02-05 11:25 AM   #25 
                    - I gotcha, but...  pgh_dem   May-02-05 11:43 AM   #27 
                       - Yes, that's exactly the point.  Febble   May-02-05 12:44 PM   #30 
                          - By the way, in case no one else has said so,  bleever   May-02-05 06:37 PM   #41 
                    - I agree.. but I also believe that the NEP time line from 8349 to 13660  TruthIsAll   May-02-05 01:48 PM   #32 
                       - Kick for more discussion  TruthIsAll   May-03-05 09:28 AM   #44 
                          - Thanks to both of you TIA & Febble for replies  pgh_dem   May-03-05 10:22 AM   #45 
                             - We don't need the weighting  Febble   May-03-05 10:49 AM   #46 
                                - Don't know about that (RE: E-M corruption)  pgh_dem   May-03-05 11:22 AM   #47 
                                - I agree that peer-review  Febble   May-03-05 12:22 PM   #48 
                                - Confidentiality at stake? Or Democracy? Which is more important?  TruthIsAll   May-03-05 12:26 PM   #49 
                                - criminal conduct of course prefers confidentiality! at all costs n/t  intensitymedia   May-03-05 12:56 PM   #50 
                                - Knowing your vote is private is important...  pgh_dem   May-03-05 01:35 PM   #51 
                                - I have an inbuilt sympathy with the position  Febble   May-03-05 02:19 PM   #53 
                                   - It was not obvious on 5/2; we did not know then that you were an E-M shill  TruthIsAll   May-25-05 07:05 AM   #61 
                                - A lawyer's take on confidentiality  davidgmills   May-03-05 02:13 PM   #52 
                                - PLEASE JUST STOP!  autorank   May-03-05 02:47 PM   #54 
                                   - Ya what "autorank" said......n/t  kster   May-03-05 07:34 PM   #55 
                                - Are you inferring that the Exit poll was wrong, because it wasn't.  passy   May-25-05 02:09 AM   #60 
                                - We can now match the NEP data to actual precincts.  kiwi_expat   May-03-05 08:29 PM   #56 
                                   - Correct link...  kiwi_expat   May-03-05 10:08 PM   #57 
  - I'm tired tonight. I think I'll just kick that rGr in the ass...  TruthIsAll   May-24-05 08:37 PM   #58 
  - kick.nt  kster   May-25-05 01:26 AM   #59 
 

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