Reply #62: 17 MILLION NEW VOTERS WERE RV'S, NOT LV'S. 60% OF THEM VOTED FOR KERRY. [View All]

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TruthIsAll (1000+ posts)

Tue Jan-11-05 08:00 AM
Response to Reply #59

62. 17 MILLION NEW VOTERS WERE RV'S, NOT LV'S. 60% OF THEM VOTED FOR KERRY.

Edited on Tue Jan-11-05 08:12 AM by TruthIsAll

Any reputable pollster will tell you that in this election, RV's were a more accurate gauge of the vote.

17% of the voters were NEW VOTERS who would not have been polled as LV's, SINCE TO QUALIFY AS AN LV, ONE HAD TO HAVE VOTED LAST TIME.

AND MANY RV'S WERE CELL-PHONE USERS.

Kerry won over 60% of New voters (RV's).

Simple arithmetic puts the lie to your post.

Once again, you're logic is wanting.

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18 NATIONAL POLLSTERS AND MITOFSKY HAD IT EXACTLY RIGHT- KERRY GOT 51%	TruthIsAll	Jan-08-05 10:57 AM	#0
Why are we not running thru the streets of DC rioting like we should ??	GetTheRightVote	Jan-08-05 11:00 AM	#1
RightVote, you know I hit a nerve. Sat AM and here come the naysays..	TruthIsAll	Jan-08-05 12:28 PM	#27
The final national/state poll analysis and graphics here.	TruthIsAll	Jan-08-05 11:01 AM	#2
Ukraine run but you U can't hide from the truth	underpants	Jan-08-05 11:01 AM	#3
This tells us that if Kerry won 69% of the undecided/other vote...	TruthIsAll	Jan-09-05 10:06 AM	#49
The problem is in the "assumptions" which I find in all your posts...	IStriker	Jan-08-05 11:05 AM	#4
Is that your best rebuttal? Hello? It was stolen. That's the point.	TruthIsAll	Jan-08-05 11:16 AM	#6
If that is your best PROOF, an assumption, then yes, that is my rebuttal.	IStriker	Jan-08-05 11:59 AM	#17
YOUR assumption is that the phantom Bush vote tallies are legit.	TruthIsAll	Jan-09-05 10:22 AM	#50
Actually TIA	insane_cratic_gal	Jan-08-05 11:16 AM	#7
non scientific anecdote	marcologico	Jan-08-05 11:39 AM	#12
Yes they sure did	insane_cratic_gal	Jan-08-05 11:50 AM	#14
I think so.... exit polls agreed with the vote in all states EXCEPT FL	bobbieinok	Jan-11-05 02:21 AM	#60
Who are you to know that Kerry was ahead? Nobody else had...	IStriker	Jan-08-05 11:56 AM	#15
Yoy mean NEP. You are ignoring the WP/NEP SITE I referred to. Why?	TruthIsAll	Jan-08-05 12:04 PM	#18
If 100% of all voters had voted for Kerry, he would most definitely be...	IStriker	Jan-08-05 12:17 PM	#24
What exactly do you mean by that statememt? "If 100% of all voters	TruthIsAll	Jan-10-05 12:21 AM	#54
Math check...	mycatforpresident	Jan-11-05 10:12 AM	#67
The exit poll has not been released yet.	euler	Jan-11-05 10:29 AM	#69
It takes 3 or more months to "refine" the final release?	TruthIsAll	Jan-11-05 08:35 PM	#85
Weird. Even Larry King	KCabotDullesMarxIII	Jan-11-05 04:10 PM	#82
I was watching TV and never heard anybody say Kerry was ahead...	IStriker	Jan-08-05 12:05 PM	#19
They were reporting exit polls conducted by the campaigns as I recall n/t	marcologico	Jan-08-05 12:13 PM	#22
I was working for the Kerry campaign locally	Spiffarino	Jan-08-05 01:21 PM	#38
My assumption is based on historical FACT. All posters agree.	TruthIsAll	Jan-08-05 12:14 PM	#23
California Poll (exit poll) doesn't. n/t	igil	Jan-08-05 01:17 PM	#37
Doesn't what?	Spiffarino	Jan-08-05 01:35 PM	#40
I've seen posts that said the California Poll (aka Times Poll)	igil	Jan-08-05 01:45 PM	#41
3% MOE?	Spiffarino	Jan-09-05 12:59 AM	#46
"All posters agree"	euler	Jan-11-05 10:37 AM	#70
The undecideds did not break for Kerry.	euler	Jan-11-05 10:38 AM	#71
meanwhile, Carter is monitoring Palestinian elections	riverwalker	Jan-08-05 11:06 AM	#5
Assumptions and more assumptions - ASSUME	PatsFan2004	Jan-08-05 11:19 AM	#8
that's an assumption as well n/t	insane_cratic_gal	Jan-08-05 11:20 AM	#9
Niether of which would stand up in court	Freddie Stubbs	Jan-10-05 10:23 PM	#56
TIA, so what do we do?	liam97	Jan-08-05 11:20 AM	#10
It may be unacceptable, but it is reality.	IStriker	Jan-08-05 12:09 PM	#20
enjoy your visit	marcologico	Jan-08-05 12:18 PM	#25
I am enjoying DU; I just do not share your delusions.	IStriker	Jan-08-05 01:03 PM	#32
You will, buddy... you will...	KCabotDullesMarxIII	Jan-08-05 03:14 PM	#42
Nope. Time for you to get a reality check or not...	IStriker	Jan-08-05 07:45 PM	#44
Strumming lips...	KCabotDullesMarxIII	Jan-09-05 12:26 PM	#51
Is this another conspiracy theory?	IStriker	Jan-09-05 03:03 PM	#53
Did all of the undecided poll respondents actually vote???	nodictators	Jan-08-05 11:21 AM	#11
But if you use other data from the same sources...	KerryDownUnder	Jan-08-05 11:49 AM	#13
And some of those who were not undecided didn't vote. So what?	TruthIsAll	Jan-08-05 11:59 AM	#16
All I'm saying	KerryDownUnder	Jan-08-05 12:50 PM	#29
I do not acknowledge that at all.	TruthIsAll	Jan-11-05 07:27 PM	#83
More nonsense...	Imajika	Jan-08-05 12:11 PM	#21
Why not likely voters? Some of these WERE LV's (Zogby)	TruthIsAll	Jan-08-05 12:20 PM	#26
Why not use likely voters?	KerryDownUnder	Jan-08-05 12:52 PM	#31
MILLIONS OF NEWLY REGISTERED VOTERS WERE RV'S, NOT LV'S.	TruthIsAll	Jan-09-05 09:31 AM	#48
Reality check.	euler	Jan-11-05 11:04 AM	#72
TIA, have you sent this to Mitofsky?	RevCheesehead	Jan-08-05 12:40 PM	#28
No, he has enough to worry about. Freeman and Baiman are doing it	TruthIsAll	Jan-08-05 12:52 PM	#30
You sweet-talker!	RevCheesehead	Jan-08-05 01:07 PM	#33
May I second that, RevCheesehead?	fooj	Jan-08-05 01:10 PM	#34
"I'll stick to DU"	euler	Jan-11-05 11:07 AM	#74
Keep it up, TIA. Galileo was excommunicated, but the earth STILL	bleever	Jan-08-05 01:11 PM	#35
One look and I knew it was you, TIA	Spiffarino	Jan-08-05 01:12 PM	#36
Next time, we shd make the candidate sign	liam97	Jan-08-05 01:22 PM	#39
kick	pixelthief	Jan-08-05 03:42 PM	#43
TIA - have you sent this to Arnheim?	KatieB	Jan-08-05 07:49 PM	#45
No, I'm too lazy. You can send it. n/t	TruthIsAll	Jan-09-05 01:06 AM	#47
Kick it for TruthIsAll, a mighty good man	texpatriot2004	Jan-09-05 01:21 PM	#52
That's all?	aquart	Jan-10-05 10:20 PM	#55
Maybe you would like to look at a picture.	TruthIsAll	Jan-10-05 10:25 PM	#57
I just don't understand 49% for Bush.	aquart	Jan-11-05 02:59 AM	#61
I have to say	hilster	Jan-10-05 11:04 PM	#58
IN FINAL 50 POLLS CONDUCTED BEFORE THE ELECTION, KERRY ONLY LED IN 6	tritsofme	Jan-11-05 12:41 AM	#59
17 MILLION NEW VOTERS WERE RV'S, NOT LV'S. 60% OF THEM VOTED FOR KERRY.	TruthIsAll	Jan-11-05 08:00 AM	#62
How do you know what percent of new voters Kerry won?	spooked911	Jan-11-05 10:28 AM	#68
Voting in the last election is not the only criteria for being considered	tritsofme	Jan-11-05 03:09 PM	#81
YOU ARE CHERRY-PICKING. I ONLY SEE 3 RV POLLS.	TruthIsAll	Jan-11-05 08:17 AM	#63
Just for completeness...	ROH	Jan-11-05 09:59 AM	#65
Independent Pollsters Group	TruthIsAll	Jan-11-05 11:50 AM	#76
Thanks	ROH	Jan-12-05 07:28 AM	#86
For anyone interested...	ROH	Jan-12-05 01:56 PM	#87
Thanks again, TIA. I love your analyses. I use them to prove	GOPBasher	Jan-11-05 09:11 AM	#64
Thank you TIA.	Kota	Jan-11-05 10:10 AM	#66
Reality check.	euler	Jan-11-05 11:06 AM	#73
Have you read through Baiman?	ROH	Jan-11-05 11:18 AM	#75
Peer Review? Did you read Baiman? Have you read Freeman?	TruthIsAll	Jan-11-05 12:03 PM	#77
TIA. Got a question for ya!	Darkhawk32	Jan-11-05 12:05 PM	#78
The confidence level is 95% for 2 std deviations from the mean.	TruthIsAll	Jan-11-05 12:16 PM	#79
I was thinking the same thing, that the confidence level had to be....	Darkhawk32	Jan-11-05 12:19 PM	#80
We can use the $$$$ saved to feed the poor, retire some debt if	googly	Jan-11-05 08:17 PM	#84

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