Reply #66: All these question have really basic answers. The fact that...

[euler]

...you ask these questions says a lot about you knowledge about exit polling. An exit polling novice would know the answer to these questions. That makes you something below a exit poll novice (in my opinion).

Stop posting for a week and start reading what other statisticians are saying. Your prayers will all be answered. In fact, you can read about how your notions have been soundly debunked by taking the time to visit just 3 liberal blogs. I say liberal, only because you have indicated you know more about exit polling than moderate and conservation exit poll experts.

start here:

http://www.mysterypollster.com

Note: The mystery pollster is up for the Koufax award for "Best Expert Blogger of 2004." This award is given to the best Progressive blog run by a subject matter expert (in this case, statistics.)

In addition, you might want to read the 12/29/2004 version of Freemans paper. While his conclusions are still suspect, he does indicate that he at least knows the answer to your questions.