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PREDICTION: THIS WILL BECOME AN HISTORIC DOCUMENT [View All]

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-07-05 03:50 PM
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PREDICTION: THIS WILL BECOME AN HISTORIC DOCUMENT
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Edited on Fri Jan-07-05 04:15 PM by TruthIsAll
NOVEMBER 3, 2004
12:23 AM

LONG AFTER THE POLLS CLOSED.

THIS IS THE SMOKING GUN.
EASY TO UNDERSTAND.
CLEAR.
UNAMBIGUOUS.

THIS WILL BECOME THE MOST FAMOUS EXIT POLL IN HISTORY.
IT WILL EDUCATE MILLIONS WHO NEVER KNEW ABOUT EXIT POLLS.
IT WILL ASTOUND MILLIONS WHO KNEW ALL ABOUT THEM.

IT IS THE TRUTH.

13,047 RANDOMLY-SELECTED VOTERS
1.0% MARGIN OF ERROR

KERRY WON THE FEMALE VOTE BY A HIGHER PERCENTAGE THAN BUSH WON THE MALE VOTE.

******* AND MORE WOMEN (54%) VOTED THAN MEN (46%) *********

Kerry = .54*.54+ .47*.46 = 50.78%
Bush = .45*.54+ .52*.46 = 48.22%

YOU DON'T HAVE TO BE A ROCKET SCIENTIST.
IT'S SIMPLE ARITHMETIC.

IT'S 1 IN 547 MILLION ODDS THAT BUSH WOULD GET 51.23% OF THE VOTE.
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  -PREDICTION: THIS WILL BECOME AN HISTORIC DOCUMENT TruthIsAll  Jan-07-05 03:50 PM   #0 
  - am shocked by senior vote  medeak   Jan-07-05 03:52 PM   #1 
  - They don't know that they've been sold out  bush_is_wacko   Jan-07-05 04:33 PM   #18 
  - so...they have complains for higher copays  alexisfree   Jan-07-05 05:03 PM   #25 
  - Yes, fear, but also a different view of war than younger people  bush_is_wacko   Jan-08-05 12:57 AM   #41 
  - 18 NATIONAL POLLSTERS HAD IT RIGHT- KERRY GOT 51%  TruthIsAll   Jan-08-05 09:46 AM   #52 
  - I leave you to your angry mob  foo_bar   Jan-08-05 10:39 AM   #54 
  - You have a beautiful way with words which are devoid of the facts.  TruthIsAll   Jan-08-05 08:31 PM   #60 
  - LMAO>>>>Whew!!!!!...n/t  Lostnote03   Jan-08-05 09:13 PM   #61 
  - Perhaps an intervention might help ???  euler   Jan-08-05 09:28 PM   #64 
  - Now you've decided it's a....  euler   Jan-08-05 09:26 PM   #63 
  - They were all HYP. NO. TIZED. by Rove.  euler   Jan-08-05 09:24 PM   #62 
  - I remember reading some of the letters the RNC sent to seniors prior to  loudsue   Jan-07-05 05:05 PM   #26 
     - Yes, our elderly are very susceptible to that type of thing.  bush_is_wacko   Jan-08-05 01:04 AM   #44 
  - TIA, your work will be part of history books (n/t)  RaulVB   Jan-07-05 03:53 PM   #2 
  - HOW COME THE WP/NEP GRAPHIC IS NOT ON POLLINGREPORT.COM?  TruthIsAll   Jan-08-05 08:28 PM   #59 
  - Kick; and is Wikipedia been updating?  snot   Jan-07-05 03:56 PM   #3 
  - Could you edit to state date of article in Wash. Post?  snot   Jan-07-05 03:58 PM   #6 
  - I love how they skew the youth vote to make it look smaller.  Vash the Stampede   Jan-07-05 03:56 PM   #4 
  - Great posting, TIA, as usual.  intheflow   Jan-07-05 03:57 PM   #5 
  - That's why we LoveYA TIA! n/t  xultar   Jan-07-05 03:59 PM   #7 
  - Could it be that exit polls are really a scam?  spooked911   Jan-07-05 04:04 PM   #8 
  - It's not only very interesting but extremely plausible as well.  sunnystarr   Jan-07-05 05:01 PM   #24 
  - If it's a scam, why does the Media always pay for it and Rove use it?  TruthIsAll   Jan-08-05 11:38 AM   #55 
     - All these question have really basic answers. The fact that...  euler   Jan-08-05 09:52 PM   #66 
        - Well, Mitofsky's MOE is still 1%. No mention of cluster.  TruthIsAll   Jan-08-05 10:44 PM   #72 
           - Where ?  euler   Jan-10-05 09:37 PM   #77 
           - He claims no such thing  Salomonity   Jan-10-05 09:45 PM   #80 
           - You think this is the final NEP exit poll release ?  euler   Jan-10-05 09:49 PM   #81 
  - Nice discovery! If you do it by the regions.. Kerry - 50.03% Bush - 47.46%  sinkingfeeling   Jan-07-05 04:09 PM   #9 
  - The male/female split is the most important characterstic by far.  TruthIsAll   Jan-07-05 04:27 PM   #16 
  - You're right...it's simply mathematically impossible!  Raksha   Jan-07-05 04:12 PM   #10 
  - The most 'telling' division is the split...  mcscajun   Jan-07-05 04:15 PM   #11 
  - Speaking of raw exit polls...  ivorysteve   Jan-07-05 04:19 PM   #12 
  - March, I think I hear somewhere?  Alizaryn   Jan-08-05 12:24 AM   #38 
  - How many times have you posted this same thing  Mistwell   Jan-07-05 04:21 PM   #13 
  - And what would be the problem? (n/t)  RaulVB   Jan-07-05 04:22 PM   #14 
  - Newly enlightened come to this site every day. This is the beginning. n/t  JohnOneillsMemory   Jan-07-05 04:25 PM   #15 
  - That is why we must kick these facts until they become mainstream. n/t  TruthIsAll   Jan-09-05 08:25 AM   #74 
  - And I hope TIA keeps posting it, day after day, if necessary, until it  Ojai Person   Jan-07-05 04:31 PM   #17 
  - Don't you love it? n/t  TruthIsAll   Jan-07-05 04:36 PM   #19 
  - Keep on going, kicking and talking about it. If we don't who will?  northamericancitizen   Jan-07-05 04:39 PM   #20 
  - Yes, I do! n/t  IndyPriest   Jan-08-05 01:00 AM   #42 
  - It's not a screen shot.  dzika   Jan-08-05 01:11 AM   #46 
  - I'm new here  Philly Buster   Jan-09-05 08:30 AM   #75 
  - Do you really think this is the smoking gun.  bush_is_wacko   Jan-07-05 04:41 PM   #21 
  - Why won't they release the data,  Beth in VT   Jan-07-05 06:12 PM   #28 
  - They are not ignoring, they are covering  goclark   Jan-08-05 12:02 AM   #35 
     - Covering IS a better choice of words and I agree I think they  bush_is_wacko   Jan-08-05 01:02 AM   #43 
  - Smoking Gun- indisputable evidence (especially of a crime)........  Not a Sheep   Jan-07-05 04:41 PM   #22 
  - See this thread and DO SOMETHING tomorrow!  Bill Bored   Jan-07-05 04:56 PM   #23 
  - According to  Wabbajack   Jan-07-05 05:33 PM   #27 
  - More Proof: Late votes are for Kerry; early votes were rigged for Bush.  TruthIsAll   Jan-07-05 10:25 PM   #31 
     - Yeah  Wabbajack   Jan-08-05 12:47 AM   #39 
  - so 13,047 > 13660?  foo_bar   Jan-07-05 07:22 PM   #29 
  - So, of the final 613 votes...Bush gained 679, Kerry lost 9? Right.  TruthIsAll   Jan-07-05 09:36 PM   #30 
     - nowhere does it mention 6625-6319 votes  foo_bar   Jan-08-05 03:03 AM   #49 
        - That "JPEG" is from a WP site which still exists.  TruthIsAll   Jan-08-05 11:47 AM   #57 
           - Foorbar right TIA wrong. This is not the final exit poll.  euler   Jan-08-05 10:06 PM   #68 
  - Stolen  BeFree   Jan-07-05 10:38 PM   #32 
  - How about Freeman?  TruthIsAll   Jan-07-05 11:45 PM   #33 
     - And Baiman and Simon...  TruthIsAll   Jan-07-05 11:51 PM   #34 
        - My probability calculations and analysis of roundoff error  TruthIsAll   Jan-08-05 12:02 AM   #36 
        - there's far more Creationists with Ph.Ds  foo_bar   Jan-08-05 02:48 AM   #48 
           - You have a lot on nonsensical posts but this one is up there.  Melissa G   Jan-08-05 10:20 PM   #70 
  - The most obvious takes the most time  bleever   Jan-08-05 12:10 AM   #37 
  - I find your posts worth reading,  no_vote_no_count   Jan-08-05 12:48 AM   #40 
  - Not shouting, amplifying "WE'RE MAD AS HELL, NOT GOING TO TAKE IT ANYMORE"  TruthIsAll   Jan-08-05 09:13 AM   #51 
  - Do you have a link to that document?  Xap   Jan-08-05 01:07 AM   #45 
  - Umm The relig affil. #s add up to 122% of all voters  RunningFromCongress   Jan-08-05 02:20 AM   #47 
  - is Evangelicism always a subset of Protestantism?  foo_bar   Jan-08-05 03:06 AM   #50 
     - The total, less evangelicals, is exactly 100%. But I guess that  TruthIsAll   Jan-08-05 10:39 AM   #53 
  - Print poster?  cilla4progress   Jan-08-05 11:42 AM   #56 
  - Sure would make for a nice tee-shirt, though.  TruthIsAll   Jan-08-05 08:12 PM   #58 
  - http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/onpolitics/elections/exitpoll110800.h  BamaBecky   Jan-08-05 09:48 PM   #65 
  - The Gore/Bush 2000 exit poll result was right on target.  TruthIsAll   Jan-08-05 11:14 PM   #73 
  - So why doesn't someone do a post-electon canvas?  sharman   Jan-08-05 09:56 PM   #67 
  - They are afraid of what might be revealed. n/t  TruthIsAll   Jan-08-05 10:17 PM   #69 
     - It is time to get the Dems to put our money where our mouth is  Melissa G   Jan-08-05 10:31 PM   #71 
     - Seriously  sharman   Jan-09-05 05:32 PM   #76 
  - Just asking...  super simian   Jan-10-05 09:44 PM   #78 
  - Have you read this ?  euler   Jan-10-05 09:44 PM   #79 
     - We have already seen how they adjusted the numbers  TruthIsAll   Jan-10-05 09:58 PM   #82 
 

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