Reply #32: Please justify your assumptions

[platinumman]

Every time you've posted this stuff in the past week or so, I have asked you to defend your assumption that precincts were randomly sampled. So far you have failed to do so.

If you don't know the sampling methods, you cannot make any calculations at all regarding the margin of error. The only way you can possibly know the design of the exit polling is if you had some inside knowledge. Do you?

Just for the factual record, commercial polling companies would rarely sample completely randomly. Of course, you may be right in this case, but you cannot claim to be right unless you give your sources.

If you keep posting this stuff, I'll just keep asking you to justify your assumptions. If you can't, your calculations should be dismissed.