Reply #24: No! 4% is MOE for a standard poll-600 sample size. Exit polls are better

[TruthIsAll]

There is no end to the misrepresentations and spin.
But ask any pollster. He'll tell you it's BS.

Mitofsky exit-polled 2816 in FL. That sample size gives a 1.84% MOE, based on standard pre-election telephone polling. Exit polls are more accurate than standard polls.

Want to calculate the MOE for a standard poll of any sample size (N)? It's easy.

Say N= number polled (sample size).
The MOE = 1/sqrt(N).
It's that simple.

For FL, the MOE = 1/Sqrt(2816) = .0184.
Tight fit. Feels good.
It means that 95% of the time, the sample mean will be within 1.84% (+ or -)of the population mean.

Mitofsky mispoke. He is spinning. In fact, he always claimed a 3% MOE, but he has to widen it now and claim it's bad sampling.

Right.