Reply #35: Kerry Vote/Exit Poll Deviations across Time Zones

[TruthIsAll]

Kerry Exit Poll Deviations across Time Zones

Note: The averages are unweighted 
When weighted, Kerry got about 50.5% based on exit polls vs.
Bush.

Eastern: 20 of 21 states deviated to Bush (11 exceeded 3%)
Kerry's Average 53.1% Exit Poll declined to 50.5% in the vote
tally.

Central: 11 of 16 states deviated to Bush (4 exceeded 3%)
Kerry's Average 43.4% Exit Poll declined to 42.4% in the vote
tally.

Mountain: 7 of 8 states deviated to Bush (NONE exceeded 3%)
Kerry's Average 41.4% Exit Poll declined to 39.7% in the vote
tally.

Pacfic: 2 of 5 states deviated to Bush (1 exceeded 3%)
Kerry's Average 50.8% Exit Poll declined to 50.3% in the vote
tally.

A total of 40 out of 50 states deviated to Bush (16 exceeded
3%)



ZONE	Num	Over3%Exit	Vote	Diff
East	21	11	53.1	50.5	-2.7
Cent	16	4	43.4	42.4	-1.0
Mount	8	0	41.4	39.7	-1.7
Pacif	5	1	50.8	50.3	-0.4
						
Total	50	16	47.2	45.7	-1.5


	Zone	State	Exit	Vote	Diff
1	e	DE	58.5	53.5	-5.0
2	e	NH	55.4	50.5	-4.9
3	e	VT	65.0	60.2	-4.8
4	e	SC	46.0	41.4	-4.6
5	e	NC	48.0	44.0	-4.0
6	e	NY	63.0	59.2	-3.8
7	e	CT	58.5	55.1	-3.4
8	e	RI	64.0	60.6	-3.4
9	e	MA	66.0	62.6	-3.4
10	e	PA	54.4	51.0	-3.4
11	e	OH	52.1	49.0	-3.1
12	e	FL	50.5	47.5	-3.0
13	e	WV	45.3	43.4	-1.8
14	e	IN	41.0	39.4	-1.6
15	e	GA	43.0	41.4	-1.6
16	e	NJ	55.0	53.5	-1.5
17	e	KY	41.0	40.0	-1.0
18	e	MI	52.5	51.5	-1.0
19	e	ME	54.8	54.1	-0.7
20	e	MD	57.0	56.6	-0.4
21	e	VA	45.2	45.5	0.3
					
1	c	NE	36.8	32.3	-4.4
2	c	AL	41.0	37.0	-4.0
3	c	MS	43.3	40.0	-3.3
4	c	MN	54.5	51.5	-3.0
5	c	LA	44.5	42.4	-2.1
6	c	IL	57.0	55.0	-2.0
7	c	WI	52.5	50.5	-2.0
8	c	MO	47.5	46.0	-1.5
9	c	IA	50.7	49.5	-1.2
10	c	AR	46.6	45.5	-1.1
11	c	OK	35.0	34.0	-1.0
12	c	TX	37.0	38.4	1.4
13	c	TN	41.5	43.0	1.5
14	c	SD	37.8	39.4	1.6
15	c	ND	34.0	36.4	2.4
16	c	KS	35.0	37.4	2.4
					
1	m	UT	30.5	27.6	-2.9
2	m	ID	33.5	30.6	-2.9
3	m	AZ	47.0	44.4	-2.6
4	m	NM	51.3	49.5	-1.8
5	m	CO	49.1	47.5	-1.6
6	m	WY	30.9	29.6	-1.3
7	m	NV	49.4	48.5	-0.9
8	m	MT	39.8	39.8	0.0
					
1	p	AK	40.5	36.1	-4.4
2	p	WA	55.0	53.5	-1.4
3	p	OR	51.2	52.0	0.8
4	p	HI	53.3	54.5	1.2
5	p	CA	54.0	55.6	1.6