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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
Heath.Hunnicutt Donating Member (454 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 12:25 PM
Response to Original message
3. Another point:
What with the debate having gone SO well, the distribution of undecideds really does seem like it could be even more than 60%, so the model results really look promising in light of the debate's likely outcome.


I hope I'm not getting cocky, though. I just want to believe Kerry is going to win by winning the vote.
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  -10/02 ELECTION MODEL: KERRY 296 EV, 88% WIN PROB, 51.25% OF THE VOTE TruthIsAll  Oct-02-04 11:02 AM   #0 
  - TIA - I really appreciate your statistics - keep them coming.  olddem43   Oct-02-04 11:26 AM   #1 
  - Thank you, thank you, thank you!!!  Heath.Hunnicutt   Oct-02-04 12:16 PM   #2 
  - The undecided range has been there from the beginning.  TruthIsAll   Oct-02-04 12:27 PM   #4 
     - No, I didn't notice it before today.  Heath.Hunnicutt   Oct-02-04 05:20 PM   #5 
        - I run 5,000 trials for each case, or 25000 total runs  TruthIsAll   Oct-02-04 07:17 PM   #6 
  - Another point:  Heath.Hunnicutt   Oct-02-04 12:25 PM   #3 
  - that's a great model  VDHark   Oct-02-04 07:20 PM   #7 
     - Welcome to DU!  Longhorn   Oct-02-04 07:33 PM   #8 

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