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Reply #26: This is so bogus! [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
TexasBushwhacker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-15-04 05:32 AM
Response to Reply #19
26. This is so bogus!
Are people's memories THAT short?

TIME Poll results as prominently featured on Countdown (9/13/04):
Bush leads by 11%

Question asked of the sample: (voted 2000)
"Regardless of how you feel today, who did you vote for in 2000"
Bush - 53%
Gore - 41%
Nader/other 2%
Don't know/refused 4%

Now here are the poll results asked of likely voters (voted 2000)
Bush/Cheney - 52%
Kerry/Edwards - 41%
Nader/other - 0%
Don't know/refused 7%

Now, we KNOW that in fact, the results of the 2000 election were 48% for Gore, 48% for Bush, with Gore leading by over 500K of the popular vote. Some Time's poll, either through inadequate sample size or whatever, shows that their sample said they voted for Bush by a margin of 12%, when in fact the margin was ZERO. So why would their poll showing a Bush lead of 11% for the upcoming election have an validity at all?

Then take into the account the good old "likely voter" polls. Likely voters are voters that are not only registered, but actually voted in the last election. Doesn't that exclude any newly registered voters, ie. 18 to 21 years olds that were too young last time? What about the thousands of black voters that weren't allowed to vote in Florida? They don't make it to the "likely voter" group either. Then there is the 25% of America that uses ONLY a cell phone, who pollsters cannot call. It all adds up to biased polls that give bias results.
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