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Reply #8: Wash Post disagrees [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
papau Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-12-04 02:50 PM
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8. Wash Post disagrees
Are only 10 states still "competitive states" (as suggested by Wash Post)


Does DU agree with Dan Balz of the Washington Post that only 10 states are still "competitive states"

Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Iowa, Nevada, New Mexico, West Virginia and New Hampshire, with West Virginia and Nevada major, major challenges for Kerry - more so than the other 8.

Are the other 11 "battleground states" really leaning too far to be called "competitive, because - per Baltz- we have -7 Leaning toward Bush which are: Arizona, Arkansas, Colorado, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina and Virginia - with 4 leaning toward Kerry which are: Maine, Michigan, Oregon and Washington.

And of the 10 that are still "competitive", the Bush team will be putting major money to win into Minnesota, Iowa and Wisconsin, while they view Pennsylvania and Wisconsin as states they can make Kerry work very hard to defend, and see West Virginia and Nevada as quite likely to go their way.

Is it really down to a huge effort to fight the above battle, while the winner of 2 out 3 of Florida, Pennsylvania and Ohio wins the election?



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  -9/12 Kerry: 295 EV, 85% WIN PROBABILITY TruthIsAll  Sep-12-04 10:02 AM   #0 
  - TIA, you is my MAN, you give me energy and promise.....  opihimoimoi   Sep-12-04 10:13 AM   #1 
  - HAH! Electoral-vote.com says something similar as well  DaveofCali   Sep-12-04 12:34 PM   #2 
  - full disclosure  private_ryan   Sep-12-04 12:37 PM   #3 
  - With the national beauty contest polls taking-up most polling headlines..  tedoll78   Sep-12-04 12:39 PM   #4 
  - can my day get any better?  freeplessinseattle   Sep-12-04 12:45 PM   #5 
  - Why not believe the AZ polls?  NoodleBoy   Sep-12-04 12:49 PM   #6 
  - That poll was conducted Sept. 3-5, the height of Bush's bounce  AwsieDooger   Sep-12-04 01:12 PM   #7 
  - Aside from the fact that it was taken during the height of Bush's "bounce"  DinoBoy   Sep-12-04 02:58 PM   #9 
  - Wash Post disagrees  papau   Sep-12-04 02:50 PM   #8 
     - A response  TruthIsAll   Sep-12-04 03:38 PM   #10 
        - Thanks - Appears then that Wash Post is aiding Bush in the Rove get the  papau   Sep-12-04 04:06 PM   #11 
 

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