Reply #2: Not Sure Why You're Claiming This. Margin Of Error Exists For A Reason.

[OPERATIONMINDCRIME]

If the MOE is +-4, then Obama could be as low as 48 and McCain could be as high as 50, with every single bit of likelyhood as the 48-46 number.

What matters is consistency. The fact that the polls remain consistent and that day after day the lead remains the same, is what makes the confidence value in the numbers themselves greater.

But MOE absolutely makes a difference, and a poll within the margin of error is absolutely statistically tied. Only when put one after the other and trends, outliers and other analysis is able to form, does the MOE take on less meaning.