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Reply #4: It's probably an outlier [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
ShadowLiberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-14-08 10:39 PM
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4. It's probably an outlier
Most likely the poll just had more democrats in the sample then polls usually have.

Still, I consider the research 2000 polls to be outliers as well (it typically gives Obama between 3% to 5% more of a lead then most of the other polls), and I don't think they've ever given Obama a 14 point lead.
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  -What Do You Think About The CBS/NYT Poll? Magic Rat  Oct-14-08 10:20 PM   #0 
  - What does the poll say? (nt)  TwoSparkles   Oct-14-08 10:20 PM   #1 
  - Obama 53, McCain 39  nsd   Oct-14-08 10:41 PM   #6 
  - Holy landslide Batman!!!  TwoSparkles   Oct-14-08 10:48 PM   #9 
  - huh??? WHO KNOWS? What the heck does it say? Post the information for us in your note!!  trueblue2007   Oct-14-08 10:43 PM   #8 
  - In between accurate and outlier  thesubstanceofdreams   Oct-14-08 10:22 PM   #2 
  - I really only pay attention to the state polls.  AllieB   Oct-14-08 10:22 PM   #3 
  - It's probably an outlier  ShadowLiberal   Oct-14-08 10:39 PM   #4 
  - yay a poll about a poll n/t  iamthebandfanman   Oct-14-08 10:41 PM   #5 
  - Who knows? It's got Repubs shaking in their shoes though.  kwenu   Oct-14-08 10:41 PM   #7 
  - Doesn't matter  Mark E. Smith   Oct-14-08 10:48 PM   #10 
  - Accurate; both are well within two standard deviations of today's polling averages.  Abacus   Oct-14-08 10:49 PM   #11 
  - What do we know about the credibility of CBS/NYT Polls in general?  butlerd   Oct-14-08 11:30 PM   #12 
 

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