Reply #9: Having suffered through the 2000 and 2004 elections

[maui9002]

I won't get overconfident. I also know the country is divided between conservatives and progressives. But my gut tells me Obama/Biden will win in a landslide. And here's why: (1) overwhelming sense that most Americans, regardless of their political affiliation, think the country needs change, and in the end, I think most of those who are undecided will conclude that Obama/Biden is the better choice for change; (2) Republicans never seem to understand how nothing matters more to Americans than jobs and economic well being, and despite the Republican's efforts to put a positive spin on the economy, it's clear that most Americans are either hurting economically or at least anxious about their economic future; (3) I have never seen the level of interest in an election as I've seen from young people this cycle--I don't know if they'll come out and vote, but if they do, it will be a huge factor; and (4) presidents are elected by the electoral college, and although the popular vote may be relatively close, I think that Obama/Biden will win many of the "battleground" states, leading to a huge win based on electoral votes--and that conclusion is based on the unprecedented fundraising ability of the Obama campaign, a very able and savvy campaign team with a long term plan, Joe Biden's ability to win over the blue collar voters in Pennsylvania, Ohio, West Virginia, Hillary Clinton and her supporters being energized in response to the Palin pick, much higher voter registrations among Democrats than Republicans, a huge turnout of the African American and Latino voting blocs, and finally, an extraordinarily able and charismatic candidate whose time I believe has come. Bring on the debates!

While I'll continue to worry until November 5, and won't stop doing what I can to help, I believe in this campaign and I think we win big.