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Reply #10: Here's the crux: Undecideds Don't Like The Palin Pick [View All]

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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-30-08 08:04 PM
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10. Here's the crux: Undecideds Don't Like The Palin Pick
Undecideds Don't Like The Palin Pick
from The Daily Dish | By Andrew Sullivan by Andrew Sullivan

The headlines are about the broad polling reaction to Palin. But the most fascinating part of the first Rasmussen poll on the matter is how those who are currently undecided in the election felt. They, after all, the votes both campagns are trying to win over with their veep picks. The key data is in the cross-tabs.

On the critical question, "With Palin As Vice-Presidential Nominee, Are You More Or Less Likely To Vote For McCAin," there's a striking result. Among those already for McCain, 68 percent say it makes them more likely to vote for him; only 6 percent say less; and 23 percent said no impact. Among those already for Obama, Palin made only 9 percent of them more likely to switch to McCain, 59 percent less likely, and 30 percent said it would make no difference.

Among undecideds, the Palin pick made only 6 percent more likely to vote for McCain; and it made 31 percent less likely to vote for him. 49 percent said it would have no impact, and 15 percent remained unsure. More to the point: among undecideds, 59 percent said Palin was unready to be president. Only 6 percent said she was.

From this first snap-shot (and unsettled) impression, Palin has helped McCain among Republicans, left Democrats unfazed, but moved the undecideds against him quite sharply. I totally understand why.

http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/20...
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  -First polls regarding McSame's pick of Sarah 'Plain', they ain't good DainBramaged  Aug-30-08 06:53 PM   #0 
  - I especially like this paragraph:  Tarheel_Dem   Aug-30-08 06:59 PM   #1 
  - I met a neighbor tonight who 'knew' I was a Liberal and couldn't wait  DainBramaged   Aug-30-08 07:55 PM   #6 
  - What a guy that McCain is, huh.  Old Crusoe   Aug-30-08 07:05 PM   #2 
  - Like a respondent on CNN said, maybe he's after the Eskimo vote?  DainBramaged   Aug-30-08 07:11 PM   #4 
  - link to the poll?  Carmavore   Aug-30-08 07:11 PM   #3 
  - It's off Editor and Publisher, linked in the OP  DainBramaged   Aug-30-08 07:13 PM   #5 
  - You do have to wonder about Rasmussen's methodology. There seems  Tarheel_Dem   Aug-30-08 08:01 PM   #8 
     - Since 1999, I have taken Rasmussen with a pound of salt  DainBramaged   Aug-30-08 08:06 PM   #11 
  - Nice 9th post in 6 months....1/3 of the time palin has been in office.  Lochloosa   Aug-30-08 09:17 PM   #18 
  - deleted  ChimpersMcSmirkers   Aug-31-08 03:14 AM   #26 
  - Meh. Gender gap, nothing new.  Bucky   Aug-30-08 07:56 PM   #7 
  - HERE is the USA Today poll  DainBramaged   Aug-30-08 08:03 PM   #9 
  - Here's the crux: Undecideds Don't Like The Palin Pick  jefferson_dem   Aug-30-08 08:04 PM   #10 
  - thanks for the links  Carmavore   Aug-30-08 08:12 PM   #13 
  - It'll help him with his base for sure...but the election won't be won by the base anyway  Bullet1987   Aug-30-08 08:13 PM   #14 
  - Independents are paying attention.  FatDave   Aug-31-08 03:08 AM   #24 
  - love it  obamican   Aug-30-08 08:10 PM   #12 
  - Wait til the rest of the women hear that she opposes ALL birth control..  progressivebydesign   Aug-30-08 08:15 PM   #15 
  - Eew. For real? I didn't know that.  Blondiegrrl   Aug-30-08 09:35 PM   #20 
  - Interesting  Raine   Aug-30-08 08:16 PM   #16 
  - The only thing is we should wait for the convention. You know they'll show some biographical  jenmito   Aug-30-08 08:26 PM   #17 
  - I think she also has to be spot-on perfect until the debate as well.  ChimpersMcSmirkers   Aug-31-08 03:26 AM   #28 
  - Mwahahahaha! Awesome.  Blondiegrrl   Aug-30-08 09:30 PM   #19 
  - That 9% number for McCain/Palin will go down  Qutzupalotl   Aug-30-08 09:48 PM   #21 
  - This is the beginning of the end for McClown.  Katzenkavalier   Aug-30-08 09:52 PM   #22 
  - He might as well put on a clown suit. This is going to be a fun week.  DainBramaged   Aug-31-08 02:45 AM   #23 
  - Do they really expect us to believe 39 percent say she is ready to be prez?  GrizzlyMan   Aug-31-08 03:13 AM   #25 
  - Well, my guess is that the fundie percentage of the population is ~ 30%  ChimpersMcSmirkers   Aug-31-08 03:22 AM   #27 
     - Good Point! Thank God that's all they are.  DainBramaged   Aug-31-08 08:36 AM   #29 
     - it's the same group  Devil Girl   Aug-31-08 08:40 AM   #31 
        - Who want's 'em?  DainBramaged   Aug-31-08 08:53 AM   #32 
           - we don't.  Devil Girl   Aug-31-08 05:23 PM   #34 
  - For her sake, she'd better be cramming night and day for the VP debate.  terrya   Aug-31-08 08:39 AM   #30 
  - Nah, she won't bother, I bet she doesn't make it and resigns before then  DainBramaged   Aug-31-08 01:32 PM   #33 
  - I will give Bush Credit for one thing  quakerboy   Aug-31-08 05:31 PM   #35 
 

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