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Reply #24: More like the spread was always 5-6 and the +/- 4 MOE makes a 9 point swing meaningless [View All]

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Motown_Johnny Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-02-08 09:14 PM
Response to Original message
24. More like the spread was always 5-6 and the +/- 4 MOE makes a 9 point swing meaningless
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  -Does anyone really think that Obama lost 9 points in 6 days like Gallup showed? cbc5g  Aug-02-08 08:29 PM   #0 
  - Statistics are easy to manipulate.  Elrond Hubbard   Aug-02-08 08:29 PM   #1 
  - What does Intrade show?  sniffa   Aug-02-08 08:31 PM   #2 
  - And the state by state polls are very encouraging.  NYC_SKP   Aug-02-08 08:34 PM   #9 
  - A NC poll has Obama statistically tied.  tekisui   Aug-02-08 08:54 PM   #19 
     - There's a positive, though modest, trend in NC.  NYC_SKP   Aug-02-08 08:59 PM   #20 
        - We are planing to take the day off...  unapatriciated   Aug-03-08 11:02 AM   #46 
           - EXCELLENT!  NYC_SKP   Aug-03-08 11:17 AM   #48 
              - Thanks since we work odd hours it is hard for us to attend Rallies..  unapatriciated   Aug-03-08 11:36 AM   #49 
                 - Well hello from California  NYC_SKP   Aug-03-08 11:48 AM   #50 
                    - I was out there last month to visit my kids...  unapatriciated   Aug-03-08 11:52 AM   #51 
                       - Castro Valley is close to me and I lived in the Oakland Hills for a year long ago.  NYC_SKP   Aug-03-08 11:59 AM   #53 
                          - not to mention being near my grandbabies...  unapatriciated   Aug-03-08 12:14 PM   #54 
  - The most reliable indicator because there's money riding on it :P  Political Heretic   Aug-02-08 11:44 PM   #30 
  - No, it's crap. nt.  NYC_SKP   Aug-02-08 08:31 PM   #3 
  - not just no but HELL NO nt  yellowdogintexas   Aug-02-08 08:31 PM   #4 
  - No. I think there may have been some tightening, but not that much.  Zynx   Aug-02-08 08:32 PM   #5 
  - I don't either.  madaboutharry   Aug-02-08 08:32 PM   #6 
  - I was reading the responses to the article posted at CNN. The article  Blondiegrrl   Aug-02-08 09:32 PM   #26 
  - The MSM is all over it saying Obama is starting to lose it..LOL  cbc5g   Aug-02-08 08:33 PM   #7 
  - I guess Paris, Brittney and Charleton have more pull.  donco6   Aug-02-08 08:35 PM   #10 
  - He can't close the deal....OMG!  NYC_SKP   Aug-02-08 08:35 PM   #11 
  - MSM? What about the loud chicken littles of DU?  sniffa   Aug-02-08 09:02 PM   #22 
  - What about the 15 point drop with Newsweek poll?  Life Long Dem   Aug-02-08 08:34 PM   #8 
  - In a word - nope!  NanceGreggs   Aug-02-08 08:35 PM   #12 
  - The news has been all over McCain's attack ads. Obama hasn't hit back. I'm not shocked.  Occam Bandage   Aug-02-08 08:36 PM   #13 
  - No, Gallup is owned by the corporations and they want a close race  Quixote1818   Aug-02-08 08:37 PM   #14 
  - Like McCain and his Corp. Media , the Pollsters are in on it as well.  FrenchieCat   Aug-02-08 08:38 PM   #15 
  - I seriously think the polls are shit ....  RazBerryBeret   Aug-02-08 08:38 PM   #16 
  - Maybe  DemocracyInaction   Aug-02-08 08:42 PM   #17 
  - And the highest in 4 years.  Life Long Dem   Aug-02-08 09:18 PM   #25 
  - No, he was never up by 9  Teaser   Aug-02-08 08:50 PM   #18 
  - Possibly ...  Phoonzang   Aug-02-08 09:02 PM   #21 
  - they're pumping up the "likely voter" meme this week  NatBurner   Aug-02-08 09:05 PM   #23 
  - More like the spread was always 5-6 and the +/- 4 MOE makes a 9 point swing meaningless  Motown_Johnny   Aug-02-08 09:14 PM   #24 
  - not meaningless  Teaser   Aug-02-08 10:20 PM   #28 
  - or partially meaningless and partially real  Bill McBlueState   Aug-03-08 10:37 AM   #42 
  - Yes, because I think the bump he received after his trip was temporary.  Drunken Irishman   Aug-02-08 09:40 PM   #27 
  - Well, let's see .... should I believe the M$M polls or my own eyes?  Doremus   Aug-02-08 11:42 PM   #29 
  - Which do you think is more likely to be a random sample of voters?  Bill McBlueState   Aug-03-08 10:38 AM   #43 
  - THEY ARE LYING!!!  Heather MC   Aug-02-08 11:50 PM   #31 
  - are you seeking honest answers or affirmation?  Hoof Hearted   Aug-03-08 01:58 AM   #32 
  - good question  Bill McBlueState   Aug-03-08 10:42 AM   #44 
  - M$M is owned by the repugs so they'll give you their news...  Imagevision   Aug-03-08 01:59 AM   #33 
  - Sure. Why not?  Kurt_and_Hunter   Aug-03-08 02:12 AM   #34 
  - The media controls everything in politics. They will decide what the "polls say" and  AlinPA   Aug-03-08 07:42 AM   #35 
  - The media want a horse race. The polls are for them to generate news.  Clear Blue Sky   Aug-03-08 07:45 AM   #36 
  - Nope. One more thing..  nc4bo   Aug-03-08 07:54 AM   #37 
  - Wouldn't be surprised.  tedoll78   Aug-03-08 07:57 AM   #38 
  - No, they're absurd. No one who has an opinion is changing it.  TexasObserver   Aug-03-08 08:24 AM   #39 
  - Nope. I think Gallup skewed their poll pool to suggest it for news ratings. nt  RedShoes   Aug-03-08 08:44 AM   #40 
  - He lost five points, and McLame gained four.  geek tragedy   Aug-03-08 09:55 AM   #41 
  - Me neither.  Phx_Dem   Aug-03-08 10:58 AM   #45 
  - I can believe it. Polls are pretty volatile this time of year.  sourmilk   Aug-03-08 11:05 AM   #47 
  - no  dragonball2008   Aug-03-08 11:52 AM   #52 
 

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