Reply #32: I don't think the Bradley Effect is as pronounced as that....

[Franks Wild Years]

Tom Bradley actually performed better, percentage wise, than late polls showing him leading 47 - 41. He actually won the 'on the night' election discounting absentee ballots, and he would have won overall very, very comfortably were it not for Proposition 15. The conservative vote surged, he didn't take a hit. And if you look at Obama's primary numbers, he won just as many states by much bigger margins as he did lose by a greater number than polls suggested. Even in New Hampshire the only real inaccuracy was in underestimating by a large margin the number of women who'd be out to vote for Clinton.