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Reply #18: Poll Reflects That Obama Gets Destroyed In Alabama, But ,.. [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
Median Democrat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-20-08 02:42 PM
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18. Poll Reflects That Obama Gets Destroyed In Alabama, But ,..
Whether McCain wins Alabama by 1 point or 20 points, the result is the same, 9 electoral votes.

Here is a far better website to review, which incorporates gallup and rasmussen, but more importantly examines the electoral votes:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_m... /

The fact of the matter is that there are some states that are solidly red such as Kentucky and Alabama. These states will skew heavily in favor of the GOP, perhaps by 20 points. This McCain lead may grow, because it is a waste of money to campaign in these states because they are solidly red. So, the popular vote will be close in this election due to these dynamics. Yet, we do not elect Presidents based on the popular vote. Its winner take all. So, while the national polls are interesting, the real key is what states are in play. And, with Obama, a lot more states in the South are actually in play even more so then when John Edwards was on Kerry's ticket.

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