Reply #43: Intrade map [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009)

dbmk

(1000+ posts)

Sun May-25-08 02:58 PM
Response to Original message

43. Intrade map

This is how the map looks to the people putting their money where their mouth is at Intrade.com.

States trading in the 40-60 range put as undecided.

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Barack Obama's Map to 270 - 5/24/2008	hnmnf	May-24-08 11:11 PM	#0
Looks good to me. I feel good about MO, and iffy about OH.	tekisui	May-24-08 11:13 PM	#1
My thoughts too	Tribetime	May-24-08 11:14 PM	#3
I think soon, Colorado will no longer be a swing state	hnmnf	May-24-08 11:14 PM	#4
but I have read several other threads that said he can't win the GE	grantcart	May-24-08 11:14 PM	#2
Oh yeah, they probably even confirmed it.	tekisui	May-24-08 11:15 PM	#5
survey USA just showed a poll with IN tied	grantcart	May-24-08 11:19 PM	#6
I know all those states are in play and I wouldnt be surprised if he took some, especially NEvada	hnmnf	May-24-08 11:21 PM	#7
In '06 the Dems got a 60/40 split, in 64 Goldwater got 61/39	FogerRox	May-24-08 11:49 PM	#11
Wouldn't surprise me if NC went blue for this election.....NT	NRaleighLiberal	May-24-08 11:30 PM	#8
I'm confident it will.	RL3AO	May-24-08 11:44 PM	#10
'64 map, colors are flipped	FogerRox	May-24-08 11:59 PM	#12
Presidential Elections dont work the sameway as Congressional Ones	hnmnf	May-25-08 12:29 AM	#16
Right, so what is the difference ?	FogerRox	May-25-08 11:40 AM	#27
Take 1958 compared to 1960. Democrats won huge in the Congressional elections in 1958	Zynx	May-25-08 12:07 PM	#34
Ok, but what was the political pendulem doing at that time?	FogerRox	May-25-08 02:57 PM	#42
Awww, look at WV sticking out like a sore thumb.	Blondiegrrl	May-24-08 11:31 PM	#9
But Your Best Friend Kentucky is there with you!	hnmnf	May-25-08 12:48 AM	#19
Yee-haw!	Blondiegrrl	May-25-08 10:15 PM	#53
Deleted message	Name removed	May-25-08 12:15 AM	#13
You just can't help yourself, can you?	Kittycat	May-25-08 12:19 AM	#14
Kitty, we can only wonder once this is over	davidpdx	May-25-08 12:52 AM	#20
Obama will not be able to Holla? God your pathetic	hnmnf	May-25-08 12:28 AM	#15
If you haven't noticed, the Republicans have lost 3 special elections in the last	neverforget	May-25-08 01:36 AM	#22
Ohio will go for McCain. Trust me, I live there.	Dark	May-25-08 12:29 AM	#17
Well, I'm not just going to trust you because you live there.	hnmnf	May-25-08 12:32 AM	#18
My 81 year old grandma has lived there all her life...	mcctatas	May-25-08 12:54 AM	#21
Ohio didnt vote for Goldwater in 1964, neither did Florida.	FogerRox	May-25-08 11:43 AM	#28
Not if I have anything to do with it	muryan	May-25-08 04:49 PM	#49
I'd like to put IN and MO in our column too	4_Legs_Good	May-25-08 01:42 AM	#23
AK will stay red, unless maybe Clinton is on the ticket	hnmnf	May-25-08 01:44 AM	#24
What if we put Gravel on the ticket???!?!?!?!?!	4_Legs_Good	May-25-08 01:49 AM	#25
I so didnt process the AK. I was thinking Arkansas.	hnmnf	May-25-08 01:51 AM	#26
Went for LBJ over Goldwater in '64	FogerRox	May-25-08 11:44 AM	#29
Alaska used to be a swing state. That changed over time.	Zynx	May-25-08 12:06 PM	#33
This is what victory will look like:	beat tk	May-25-08 11:48 AM	#30
We would win Tennessee before we'd win Wyoming, Idaho, or Utah.	Zynx	May-25-08 12:05 PM	#32
And we'd win Montana, Alaska, North Dakota before we win TN	hnmnf	May-25-08 01:40 PM	#37
I agree. This is a sober, realistic map. This isn't like the garbage some have with him carrying GA.	Zynx	May-25-08 12:04 PM	#31
This is within the realm of possibility.	NJSecularist	May-25-08 12:09 PM	#35
Dont put Montana in the same category as MS and GA	hnmnf	May-25-08 12:12 PM	#36
Yep	Phx_Dem	May-25-08 02:13 PM	#38
You could take OH out of the mix and he still wins.	Gore1FL	May-25-08 02:17 PM	#39
I'm fairly confident that SC will go red	hnmnf	May-25-08 02:25 PM	#40
A lot depends on GOTV	Gore1FL	May-25-08 02:28 PM	#41
SC is a phenomenally red state. Bush won it by 17 or 18. It's not a swing state by any definition.	Zynx	May-25-08 04:22 PM	#47
But is is very heavily African American	Gore1FL	May-25-08 04:42 PM	#48
African Americans vote pretty close to their share of the population in SC and MS.	Zynx	May-26-08 08:19 AM	#55
Intrade map	dbmk	May-25-08 02:58 PM	#43
Same as mine, except i gave NH and VA to Obama	hnmnf	May-25-08 02:59 PM	#44
I would add NC, LA, NV, and MT to those states...	kentuck	May-25-08 03:01 PM	#45
I very much doubt Louisiana until I see some hard evidence on that.	Zynx	May-25-08 04:19 PM	#46
I'm holding off on those states until I see a poll showing him ahead.	hnmnf	May-25-08 05:10 PM	#51
I honestly think he has a way better shot in MO	muryan	May-25-08 04:52 PM	#50
He will take Georgia. -nt	kevin881	May-25-08 05:44 PM	#52
Not unless he is winning by 12 nationwide he won't.	Zynx	May-26-08 08:20 AM	#56
Pretty close to my current map:	FlyingSquirrel	May-25-08 11:08 PM	#54

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