myrna minx
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Sat May-17-08 08:34 AM
Response to Original message |
| 19. It's so exciting to consider a massive voter turn out. |
| -The Poblano Effect: Obama Could Score Huge Electoral Victory Over McCain |
Hissyspit |
May-17-08 04:42 AM |
#0 |
-
yeah, here is a NY Times article that augments the OP |
Wetzelbill |
May-17-08 04:46 AM |
#1 |
 -
Yea Wetzelbill looks like Obama's energizing the black vote will help you in November |
Hippo_Tron |
May-17-08 04:53 AM |
#3 |
-
I think so, those voters have been breaking my way |
Wetzelbill |
May-17-08 05:06 AM |
#8 |
-
Not only that...the GOP's conservative base wants to lose |
anigbrowl |
May-17-08 04:48 AM |
#2 |
-
What complete garbage |
sandnsea |
May-17-08 04:54 AM |
#4 |
 -
This is why the Clinton campaign is in shatters |
grantcart |
May-17-08 09:41 AM |
#27 |
 -
Bulletin: Hillary WOULD lose Washington... |
regnaD kciN |
May-17-08 06:45 PM |
#51 |
  -
Oh god, I hate her, and no she would not |
sandnsea |
May-17-08 07:59 PM |
#55 |
 -
This Oregonian agrees with sandnsea |
mcking |
May-18-08 01:27 AM |
#57 |
 -
Oregon and Washington have a huge indie/hippie scene... |
crimsonblue |
May-17-08 07:54 PM |
#53 |
-
I predict a landslide for Obama in November. |
Alexander |
May-17-08 04:55 AM |
#5 |
 -
turnout will be big |
Wetzelbill |
May-17-08 05:04 AM |
#6 |
  -
Dems & indies have turned out in huge numbers in the past 4 elections, but the machines |
loudsue |
May-19-08 02:00 PM |
#62 |
 -
Yup, agree....but I been wrong in the past.... |
opihimoimoi |
May-17-08 05:06 AM |
#7 |
 -
I've been "feeling" this all along and can't understand the dire predictions or polls. It will be a |
K Gardner |
May-17-08 08:50 AM |
#23 |
 -
I don't think 2008 will be the mirror image of 1984's Mondale-Reagan debacle, but close: a veritable |
Stop Cornyn |
May-17-08 02:13 PM |
#43 |
-
Rec'd! I wouldn't be surprised, and am forever hopeful! nt |
babylonsister |
May-17-08 05:19 AM |
#9 |
 -
I would be. |
Zachstar |
May-17-08 06:12 AM |
#13 |
-
I hate to disagree with you Zachstar.....I don't want it close at all |
a kennedy |
May-17-08 06:57 AM |
#15 |
-
Well hopefully it will not be close. |
Zachstar |
May-17-08 09:19 AM |
#25 |
-
If McCain continues to not distance himself from Bush... Obama will win in a landslide. |
Zachstar |
May-17-08 05:39 AM |
#10 |
-
those are very large numbers |
rove karl rove |
May-17-08 05:44 AM |
#11 |
-
Indiana was 50-50 |
Hola |
May-17-08 05:47 AM |
#12 |
-
And then.... there's the real world! |
Henny Penny |
May-17-08 06:51 AM |
#14 |
 -
And no one has been better at predicting real world outcomes than Poblano |
grantcart |
May-17-08 09:43 AM |
#28 |
-
I love Poblano |
sonias |
May-17-08 07:27 AM |
#16 |
-
I've been following the Poblano stats... |
noel711 |
May-17-08 07:32 AM |
#17 |
-
I'm very intrigued by this! When a statistician is able to project closely ... |
phrigndumass |
May-17-08 08:32 AM |
#18 |
 -
He is the only one I read at DailyKos look at is work on SuperTuesday |
grantcart |
May-17-08 09:45 AM |
#29 |
-
Wow, how could I have missed his diary? And that's from January. |
phrigndumass |
May-17-08 10:20 AM |
#31 |
-
It's so exciting to consider a massive voter turn out. |
myrna minx |
May-17-08 08:34 AM |
#19 |
-
IMHO the past couple of weeks the bloviators and Clinton |
RamboLiberal |
May-17-08 08:42 AM |
#20 |
 -
Now that OH has a Dem SoS we can count on our urban cities resisting GOP AA suppression tactics |
rosebud57 |
May-17-08 08:49 AM |
#22 |
-
There is a huge potential to increase African American turnout that is currently |
rosebud57 |
May-17-08 08:46 AM |
#21 |
 -
2004. That was the year Geirge Bush lost |
MediaBabe |
May-17-08 01:32 PM |
#38 |
-
That was also the year we had a bore for the nominee, Kerry, nobody was feeling |
rosebud57 |
May-17-08 01:58 PM |
#39 |
-
This illustrates the flaw with the DLC approach |
dansolo |
May-17-08 08:59 AM |
#24 |
-
Poblano - The only reason that I read Daily Kos |
grantcart |
May-17-08 09:33 AM |
#26 |
-
Viva Poblano! |
Katzenkavalier |
May-17-08 09:53 AM |
#30 |
 -
Fascinating reading |
MindMatter |
May-17-08 11:56 AM |
#32 |
-
## DON'T DONATE TO DEMOCRATIC UNDERGROUND! ## |
DU GrovelBot |
May-17-08 11:56 AM |
#33 |
 -
I don't believe it. But I have heard conservatives mention losing this election cycle |
ej510 |
May-17-08 12:15 PM |
#34 |
-
K&R |
me b zola |
May-17-08 12:29 PM |
#35 |
-
Thanks again Hissy |
grantcart |
May-17-08 12:31 PM |
#36 |
-
Poblano's fivethirtyeight.com is one of my favorites and I check it every day |
featherman |
May-17-08 01:00 PM |
#37 |
-
I'm always wary of modeling based on this sort of data |
depakid |
May-17-08 02:00 PM |
#40 |
-
The youth vote |
MediaBabe |
May-17-08 02:05 PM |
#41 |
 -
You're 100% right. |
hulklogan |
May-17-08 02:08 PM |
#42 |
-
What Gov. Dean said |
Donna Zen |
May-17-08 02:36 PM |
#44 |
-
Okay. But where are the numbers? |
MediaBabe |
May-17-08 06:38 PM |
#49 |
-
Heh? Were you in Chicago? |
Donna Zen |
May-17-08 09:27 PM |
#56 |
-
his blog has been great this season |
slinkerwink |
May-17-08 02:38 PM |
#45 |
-
i am seriously bookmarking all these thread predicting a huge O victory, cuz you know that after O l |
VotesForWomen |
May-17-08 03:33 PM |
#46 |
-
Here's hoping. nt |
onehandle |
May-17-08 03:38 PM |
#47 |
-
The GOP vote is staying home in 08- It's purely psychological: They have to vote for the winner. |
jazzjunkysue |
May-17-08 05:42 PM |
#48 |
 -
Nope. Republicans do not think that way. |
MediaBabe |
May-17-08 06:42 PM |
#50 |
-
Nobody's factoring in McCain's HUGE weakness |
KSinTX |
May-17-08 07:45 PM |
#52 |
 -
This video might have something to do with it... |
mcollier |
May-18-08 09:08 PM |
#60 |
-
i was fiddling around with a map the other day... |
Ysabel |
May-17-08 07:54 PM |
#54 |
-
Poblano doesn't know what he's doing |
Awsi Dooger |
May-18-08 03:59 AM |
#58 |
-
The hole in this is the HIspanic vote |
Gman |
May-18-08 06:16 PM |
#59 |
 -
Then you should have no trouble pointing out where in his model he left it out. |
BlooInBloo |
May-19-08 02:03 PM |
#63 |
-
The Poblano effect makes for some interesting strategies on both sides |
ekwhite |
May-18-08 09:26 PM |
#61 |