Reply #10: You are shifting the goal posts, tritsofme

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You asked for one in the last fifty years. I think that I delivered. If we are going to include any poll prior to the election that matches fairly well, rather than the just last poll, then they were probably right in every single election in history...well, maybe not Dewey-Truman...but that's not terribly useful. Surely you see what I mean?

I don't really take any single pollster all that seriously. I try to look at as many as possible and see what they are saying collectively. I don't do the math, just eyeball it. I find that it works as well as anything unless one is just a numbers fanatic (which is fine, btw). There's really only one meaningful poll. It's taken in November.