Many political observers are aware of Intrade and the outstanding predictive record the traders there have. Furthermore, those that do know about their track record also know that they tend to see trends well before the media and pollsters do. For those that aren’t familiar, Intrade is an electronic market where people can take out futures contracts based on their belief that an event will or won’t happen in the future. Real Clear Politics was one of the first to incorporate this data into their polling pages.
Let's see what they have to say regarding OBAMA
Barack Obama to be Democratic Presidential Nominee in 2008
Last Price: 77.9 1.0
You can buy
this at 77.9
You can sell
this at 77.8
( Indicates a 77.9 % chance of OBAMA becoming the Democratic Presidential Nominee in 2008 )
OBAMA to win in NC 94.3% which makes Indiana irrelevant.
http://www.intrade.com
Printer-friendly format
Email this thread to a friend
Bookmark this thread
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
