Reply #4: Odd thing about the Survey USA poll

[King of New Orleans]

is that it has Kerry leading 46-40 among African-Americans (vs a normally 80%+ number for the Democrat)

and has a 48-48 tie among Hispanic voters (I don't know what the normal demographic split is for this group in Ariz. though I'm sure they generally vote Democratic).

Both of those subsets look pretty off, probably pulling the poll off quite a bit.


McCain probably does have a modest effect among voters in the state too.