Donate to DU!
Democratic Underground Latest Threads
Latest		 Greatest Threads
Greatest		 Lobby
Lobby		 Journals
Journals		 Search
Search		 Options
Options		 Help
Help		 Login
Login
Google

Reply #12: SD needs [View All]

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread		 This topic is archived.
First thread | Last thread
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
dbmk Donating Member (1000+ posts)  Journal Click to send private message to this author Click to view this author's profile Click to add this author to your buddy list Click to add this author to your Ignore list Donate to DU! Thu May-01-08 11:23 AM
Response to Original message
12. SD needs
Edited on Thu May-01-08 11:29 AM by dbmk
Given the current numbers from DemConWatch, the need for superdelegates look like this, given an estimate for GU/IN/NC that I think is reasonably favoured for Senator Clinton:



Notes:

Hillary needs 40% of the SDs even if she takes 100% of the pledged delegates after IN/NC.

Obama can still do it in that situation with 65-70% of the SDs.

Its probably more likely to be a 50-50 from there, making the numbers around 75% for Hillary and 27% for Obama.
Which in absolute numbers are about 218 for Hillary and 78 for Obama.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
  ***May 1st Super Delegate Update Thread**(plus why so many for Obama/Clinton today) grantcart  May-01-08 11:02 AM   #0 
   thank you for keeping track of all of this for us.  FLDem5   May-01-08 11:07 AM   #1 
   If I'm reading that correctly  rox63   May-01-08 11:07 AM   #2 
   correct but expect a block buster announcement any minute with  grantcart   May-01-08 11:09 AM   #3 
   But obama may pick up two in maryland today also  4themind   May-01-08 11:11 AM   #7 
      and 3 more from MD and LA on Saturday  grantcart   May-01-08 11:15 AM   #9 
      now 16 with Jason endorsement  grantcart   May-01-08 11:48 AM   #19 
   also the gap does not include the 3 from IL  grantcart   May-01-08 11:10 AM   #4 
   until the 4 from NY announce...  Texas Hill Country   May-01-08 11:38 AM   #15 
   The two AFL CIO presidents are her corporate buyout using the gas tax against the public.  Boz   May-01-08 11:10 AM   #5 
   It doesn't even benfit them,  4themind   May-01-08 11:13 AM   #8 
   It wont save indys anything, but it is MILLIONS to organized trucking  Boz   May-01-08 11:19 AM   #10 
      as supply and demand dictates price it will not reduce the price one penny  grantcart   May-01-08 11:23 AM   #11 
         Exactally, and thats why it will only make consumer gas MORE expensive  Boz   May-01-08 11:38 AM   #16 
   Obama got a union super delegate today as well  grantcart   May-01-08 09:16 PM   #51 
   let hope SD's listen to Andrew and end this madness  clevbot   May-01-08 11:11 AM   #6 
   SD needs  dbmk   May-01-08 11:23 AM   #12 
   thanks do you keep updating this everyday?  grantcart   May-01-08 11:36 AM   #14 
      No - once in a while.  dbmk   May-01-08 12:49 PM   #26 
         deomconwatch has a page on add ons  grantcart   May-01-08 01:09 PM   #30 
   K/R.  Window   May-01-08 11:34 AM   #13 
   tks  grantcart   May-01-08 02:25 PM   #36 
   K&R Thanks for the update!  TragedyandHope   May-01-08 11:42 AM   #17 
   DNC Jason Rae (WI) for Obama  grantcart   May-01-08 11:44 AM   #18 
   appears to have already been counted in Feb  grantcart   May-01-08 12:06 PM   #21 
   I think he's been in Obama's column for a while now.  TheDoorbellRang   May-01-08 12:12 PM   #22 
      correct seems to be a DNC Texas SD announcing - not yet confirmed  grantcart   May-01-08 12:14 PM   #23 
         DCW has now added Patrick to Obama's list  TheDoorbellRang   May-01-08 12:51 PM   #27 
            and Obama's magic number is going to be about 280 before IN/NC  grantcart   May-01-08 01:43 PM   #31 
   K&R!  writes3000   May-01-08 12:01 PM   #20 
   DNC PATRICK (TX) ENDORSES OBAMA (AFL-CIO)  grantcart   May-01-08 12:28 PM   #24 
   Obama's magic number is now 290 Clinton's SD lead 16  grantcart   May-01-08 12:40 PM   #25 
   Thanks for the update grantcart  sonias   May-01-08 12:54 PM   #28 
   thanks  grantcart   May-01-08 01:04 PM   #29 
   kicked  beat tk   May-01-08 01:52 PM   #32 
   The 4 add on delegates that I predicted this morning are now announced  grantcart   May-01-08 01:57 PM   #33 
   Please note that only two of the NY SDs have endorsed Clinton so far  grantcart   May-01-08 02:04 PM   #34 
   K & R  Scurrilous   May-01-08 02:13 PM   #35 
   thanks  grantcart   May-01-08 05:52 PM   #50 
   Ok summary please.  DerekJ   May-01-08 02:29 PM   #37 
   Net gain so far today Obama +5 Clinton +4  grantcart   May-01-08 02:49 PM   #39 
      Thanks grantcart :) n/t  DerekJ   May-01-08 03:17 PM   #40 
   Clinton now confirming 4 add on delegates  grantcart   May-01-08 02:45 PM   #38 
   whats the net today? including the -1 for Clinton  FLDem5   May-01-08 03:25 PM   # 
      see # 39 above  grantcart   May-01-08 03:30 PM   #42 
         thank you!  FLDem5   May-01-08 03:31 PM   #43 
            tks  grantcart   May-01-08 03:36 PM   #45 
   kick  bigbrother05   May-01-08 03:25 PM   #41 
   tks  grantcart   May-01-08 03:43 PM   #46 
   Big grantcart Kick! n/t  Kukesa   May-01-08 03:32 PM   #44 
   tks kukesa  grantcart   May-01-08 04:24 PM   #49 
   They said a lot of times the campaigns will hold the announcements back.  kerry-is-my-prez   May-01-08 03:48 PM   #47 
   what is this in reference to?  grantcart   May-01-08 03:51 PM   #48 
   night kick  grantcart   May-02-08 01:12 AM   #52 
 

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators

Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals  |  Links  |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2009 Democratic Underground, LLC