Reply #17: Ah, but note they haven't been waiting

[TheDoorbellRang]

Early in April I theorized that the SD's would start endorsing Obama by one's and two's -- staying under the radar as the focus stayed on the primary races. I predicted that by Oregon/Kentucky, or by Montana/South Dakota at the latest, he will have enough super delegates in his column so that it is a primary race that is seen to put him over the top, and not the super delegates. Here's what's been happening with super delegates since January:

..........HC....BO......HC Lead..HC%
1/13...165....69..........96......71%
1/20...171....77..........94......69%
1/27...184....88..........96......68%
2/3....198...105..........93......65%
2/10...224...127..........97......64%
2/17...238...160.5.......77.5....60%
2/24...238...174..........64......58%
3/2.....240...193..........47......55%
3/9.....244...205..........39......54%
3/16...244...208..........36......54%
3/23...246...210..........36......54%
3/30...246...212..........34......54%
4/6.....245...221..........24......53%
4/13...249...223..........26......53%
4/20...255...230..........25......53%
4/27...257...235..........22......52%

There are only 302 undeclared super delegates left. If another 100 endorse for Obama between now and the end of May, he's over the top.

Then add to the mix the fundraising arrangement the Obama camp made with the DNC earlier this week. Do you think the DNC would rather hitch their wagon to the guy whose donors send money with no strings attached and who has only one or two fundraisers scheduled between now and June, or with the gal with 17 fundraisers scheduled whose big money donors tell Pelosi how it's gonna be if she wants their money or whose big donors demand their money back because FL and MI votes haven't counted? I'd guess we'll start seeing more DNC people weighing in soon.

They're just proceeding, quietly and under the radar, to shut Ms. Hillary down -- one and two at a time.