Alii
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Sat Apr-26-08 03:51 AM
Response to Reply #34 |
| 38. In re the PA RCP average... |
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Edited on Sat Apr-26-08 03:59 AM by Alii
The Newsweek poll did skew the mean, e.g., wasn't really that far off. The mode in this instance was almost spot on. Oops, just re-checked...scratch Newsweek.
However, in the Indiana poll...no Newsweek.
Luck!
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| -Indiana: Clinton 50%, Obama 45% (ARG) |
mickeyraul |
Apr-25-08 07:39 PM |
#0 |
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omg noooooooooooooooooooo! |
horseface |
Apr-25-08 07:39 PM |
#1 |
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They were only more accurate than PPP |
hnmnf |
Apr-25-08 07:40 PM |
#2 |
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What's wrong? I thought you became a ARG fan? |
jackson_dem |
Apr-25-08 07:40 PM |
#3 |
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I think ARG has gotten a raw deal, but that graph is wrong |
hnmnf |
Apr-25-08 07:42 PM |
#5 |
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hnmnf is the poster who predicted Obama would win by a half point in PA!! |
rodeodance |
Apr-26-08 11:51 AM |
#53 |
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They were also more accurate than rasmussen |
mickeyraul |
Apr-25-08 07:46 PM |
#8 |
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On April 20-21, they had Hillary up 56-40 |
hnmnf |
Apr-25-08 07:47 PM |
#11 |
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How so? |
Traction311 |
Apr-26-08 08:58 AM |
# |
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How so? |
Traction311 |
Apr-26-08 08:58 AM |
#49 |
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Then if Clinton doesn't win by 5% she must drop out |
Tribetime |
Apr-25-08 07:41 PM |
#4 |
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Says who? If the Dem front runner can't win in neighorbing IN what does that say? |
jackson_dem |
Apr-25-08 07:43 PM |
#6 |
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It says that he's not trying to destroy his opponent |
MindMatter |
Apr-25-08 10:28 PM |
#24 |
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He spent $16 million on travel and ads alone in PA to defeat a primary candidate who has "lost" |
jackson_dem |
Apr-25-08 10:53 PM |
#28 |
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He cut a 25-point deficit to 9%, and that sealed the deal for him |
MindMatter |
Apr-26-08 07:13 AM |
#43 |
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If you believe that, you must not have been in PA. |
Beacool |
Apr-26-08 01:41 AM |
#29 |
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do all hillary supporters use TRITE phrases like "couldn't close the deal"? |
ima_sinnic |
Apr-26-08 01:50 AM |
#31 |
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After the crap you wrote, you don't deserve a civilized response. n/t |
Beacool |
Apr-26-08 01:53 AM |
#33 |
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Just the stupid ones |
Moochy |
Apr-26-08 02:09 AM |
#35 |
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Pot, meet Kettle. This from the campaign of empty rhetoric!!! |
chimpymustgo |
Apr-26-08 07:19 AM |
#46 |
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Hey Chimpy |
Moochy |
Apr-26-08 11:43 AM |
#52 |
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What you don't understand is that he DID close the deal |
MindMatter |
Apr-26-08 07:16 AM |
#45 |
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and what does it say |
Jawja |
Apr-26-08 09:27 AM |
#50 |
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If he can win Indiana and North Carolina, I see Hillary withdrawing soon. |
Alexander |
Apr-27-08 06:02 AM |
#59 |
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You seem really insecure in your contestant's ability to win a nomination with |
bluetrain |
Apr-25-08 08:54 PM |
#18 |
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No, it's just my way of saying how ridiculous polls are. IMO |
Tribetime |
Apr-25-08 09:33 PM |
#22 |
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I live in Indiana...I do hope that poll is wrong...Fuck me! |
and-justice-for-all |
Apr-25-08 07:44 PM |
#7 |
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It doesn't matter. It really doesn't matter. |
MindMatter |
Apr-25-08 10:33 PM |
#26 |
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they were 7% off |
adoraz |
Apr-25-08 07:46 PM |
#9 |
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OH |
mickeyraul |
Apr-25-08 07:56 PM |
#14 |
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the last ARG had Clinton up 9 |
JackORoses |
Apr-25-08 07:47 PM |
#10 |
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I wish ARG would just go away |
bluestateguy |
Apr-25-08 07:54 PM |
#12 |
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ARG isn't a real pollster. Disregard. |
woolldog |
Apr-25-08 07:55 PM |
#13 |
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That's EXACTLY my prediction...and I called PA for Clinton by 9 |
MercutioATC |
Apr-25-08 08:35 PM |
#15 |
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after which you can then tell me where to meet a decent single guy over 40 |
cryingshame |
Apr-25-08 08:55 PM |
#19 |
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I'm 5 months over 40. |
MercutioATC |
Apr-25-08 08:59 PM |
#20 |
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... |
Kittycat |
Apr-25-08 08:37 PM |
#16 |
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I loooooove your sig graphic! |
msallied |
Apr-25-08 10:32 PM |
#25 |
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ARG isn't reliable. Whether Clinton or Obama is ahead, they aren't. |
Kerry2008 |
Apr-25-08 08:50 PM |
#17 |
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I support Obama, but I think Hillary will win Indiana. 5% seems about right. |
Walter Sobchak |
Apr-25-08 09:32 PM |
#21 |
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I don't know... I think it's going to be close ~ 3% either way |
ChimpersMcSmirkers |
Apr-25-08 09:33 PM |
#23 |
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RCP...Obama by 3 |
Alii |
Apr-25-08 10:38 PM |
#27 |
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Interesting enough RCP avg was off by 3 in Ohio as well |
davidpdx |
Apr-26-08 02:06 AM |
#34 |
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In re the PA RCP average... |
Alii |
Apr-26-08 03:51 AM |
#38 |
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at least it shows him gaining |
datopbanana |
Apr-26-08 01:44 AM |
#30 |
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Gaining? |
Alii |
Apr-26-08 03:42 AM |
#37 |
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I don't mean the avg of all polls. Im just talking about this poll |
datopbanana |
Apr-26-08 03:54 AM |
#39 |
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How About the Error... |
Butch350 |
Apr-26-08 01:52 AM |
#32 |
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Nah.. |
prodn2000 |
Apr-26-08 02:11 AM |
#36 |
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Psychic or overly optimistic? |
Alii |
Apr-26-08 04:11 AM |
#40 |
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MOE varies with different pollsters... |
Alii |
Apr-26-08 04:32 AM |
#41 |
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Indiana republicans will cross over and vote for Hillary. They are |
B Calm |
Apr-26-08 05:38 AM |
#42 |
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Drop out right after a resounding victory in Pennsylvania? |
Freedom Train |
Apr-26-08 07:39 AM |
#47 |
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YES! She should have dropped out months ago! |
B Calm |
Apr-27-08 05:54 AM |
#57 |
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its the Obama camp who are signing up Repug "dems for the Day"!! |
rodeodance |
Apr-26-08 11:53 AM |
#54 |
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and that's great. It's different with Hillary. Right wingers are voting |
B Calm |
Apr-27-08 05:57 AM |
#58 |
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RCP average of Polls for the past 10 days has Obama +3. |
tekisui |
Apr-26-08 07:15 AM |
#44 |
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This is encouraging nt |
DemGa |
Apr-26-08 08:50 AM |
#48 |
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My advice |
JoFerret |
Apr-26-08 09:37 AM |
#51 |
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Amen! Lets assume Clinton is winning by 10 and work like we want that to be a win! |
Zachstar |
Apr-26-08 11:55 AM |
#56 |
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Ok lets stop bickering over polls and take this one as a sign that we need to work harder |
Zachstar |
Apr-26-08 11:54 AM |
#55 |
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! |
DemEtienne |
Apr-27-08 11:53 AM |
#60 |