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Obama's Projections Becomes Reality [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
aaroh Donating Member (460 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-24-08 05:07 AM
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Obama's Projections Becomes Reality
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Edited on Thu Apr-24-08 05:59 AM by aaroh
Remember a few months back an Obama projection spreadsheet was leaked to Bloomberg News showing their projections for each primary results. Well I looked at the actual results so far and compared it to the spreadsheet and guess what? Each prediction of a win or loss came true! Except for New Mexico where Hillary won by a narrow margin.



Actual Results: http://origin.barackobama.com/resultscenter /

Take a look at the next 3 primaries (Guam,NC,Indiana), they have projected a clean sweep. The margin predictions have been close too. So if this spreadsheet is any indication of the upcoming contests, Obama is well on his way to take out Indiana too where Hillary is favored to win.

Full spreadsheet can be downloaded here: http://ia341038.us.archive.org/1/items/Obamaexcel/obama...

They're doing better than expected:
Predicted pledged delegates gained (from Iowa to Pa): 1439
Actual pledged delegates gained (from Iowa to Pa) : 1494
underestimated by : 55
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