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Reply #15: I'm guessing she picks up +7 max out of the 55 pledged delegates if she can get a +11% PV lead. [View All]

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PerfectSage Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-15-08 06:18 PM
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15. I'm guessing she picks up +7 max out of the 55 pledged delegates if she can get a +11% PV lead.
Edited on Tue Apr-15-08 06:28 PM by PerfectSage
I saw something on Dailykos? where the margin for gaining a delegate is calculated as:

200/55 pledged delegates = 3.64%

both HRC & BO start off with 27
assume HRC is winner: HRC +1

3.64% times 3 = 10.91% for HRC to get +3 from BO's 27 she needs to have an +10.91% margin of victory in PA

and HRC gets 31 and BO gets 24 of the 55 pledged delegates distributed by statewide totals and HRC nets +10 outa PA.

HRC will have a hard time getting a +8 total gain in delegates out of PA

:bounce: :bounce: :bounce: :bounce: :bounce: :bounce: :bounce: :bounce: :bounce: :bounce: :bounce: :bounce: :bounce:




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  -Hillary will get 53 delegates, Obama will get 50 in PA. Even if she wins. Hamlette  Apr-15-08 05:39 PM   #0 
  - When you look at the math and reality, it is obvious that the primary is over. Hillary just doesn't  GarbagemanLB   Apr-15-08 05:40 PM   #1 
  - I've come to the conclusion, that Hillary wants to be VP, but Obama wont offer  ShaneGR   Apr-15-08 05:44 PM   #3 
  - That would be a nightmare ticket  Yael   Apr-15-08 05:46 PM   #6 
  - Too many chiefs, not enough Indians. Or put differently, too many cooks spoil the broth.  IntravenousDemilo   Apr-15-08 06:46 PM   #16 
  - Seirous NIGHTMARE Indeed for the Democ. Party -- Contradictory Attitudes ripe for Repubs  quantass   Apr-15-08 06:47 PM   #17 
  - She's banking on breaking his back and the supers giving it to her because she destroyed him.  Hamlette   Apr-15-08 05:44 PM   #4 
  - He did it to himself.  Yael   Apr-15-08 05:46 PM   #7 
     - how?  Hamlette   Apr-15-08 05:47 PM   #8 
     - He CHOSE to launch the offensive attacks in South Carolina  Yael   Apr-15-08 05:58 PM   #13 
        - ah, you mean Bill, not Obama,  Hamlette   Apr-15-08 07:36 PM   #21 
           - Sorry -- I should have been more clear as to what comment I was addressing  Yael   Apr-15-08 07:38 PM   #22 
     - how?  Hamlette   Apr-15-08 05:47 PM   #9 
  - but....  SoFlaJet   Apr-15-08 05:47 PM   #10 
  - The problem is, I think she *does* see it: she just doesn't care.  apocalypsehow   Apr-15-08 06:56 PM   #20 
  - Apparently so.  Yael   Apr-15-08 05:42 PM   #2 
  - Thats interesting looking at the district by district commentaries  Yael   Apr-15-08 05:45 PM   #5 
  - Lots of Drs and Lawyers in Affluent Neighborhoods  Bilyb   Apr-15-08 06:53 PM   #18 
  - She's knee capping for superdelegates, not PA.  mmonk   Apr-15-08 05:49 PM   #11 
  - Actually, she'll probably gain 8 delegates  TheDoorbellRang   Apr-15-08 05:54 PM   #12 
  - PA is more populous (populated) than CA? I don't think so... n/t  ORDem   Apr-15-08 06:16 PM   #14 
  - I'm guessing she picks up +7 max out of the 55 pledged delegates if she can get a +11% PV lead.  PerfectSage   Apr-15-08 06:18 PM   #15 
     - Senator Obama can make up that difference  Bilyb   Apr-15-08 06:56 PM   #19 
 

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