You are viewing an obsolete version of the DU website which is no longer supported by the Administrators. Visit The New DU.
Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login

Reply #46: Thanks for posting... [View All]

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
usregimechange Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-24-08 07:55 PM
Response to Reply #42
46. Thanks for posting...
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
  -Indiana County-level Projections based on Demographic Characteristics usregimechange  Mar-23-08 09:24 AM   #0 
  - This is an excellent analysis. Thanks for posting it!  phrigndumass   Mar-23-08 09:28 AM   #1 
  - Your welcome! I have started on NC but I want to look at Oregon too  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 09:34 AM   #2 
  - Posting maps not used in the OP but that still may be of interest...  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 05:36 PM   #3 
  - population Lake co  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 06:00 PM   #4 
  - You should charge per view to help your fund raising lol  grantcart   Mar-23-08 06:08 PM   #5 
  - The Philly districts appear to be weighted a bit more than others, advantage Obama  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 06:23 PM   #7 
  - This is typical of all the states. Now here is the irony. The way that the system is  grantcart   Mar-23-08 06:50 PM   #16 
  - Lets say Obama wins district 2 in Philly by 74%, he would get 7 delegates to Hillary's 2. and...  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 06:31 PM   #8 
  - I just made the same point up thread lol  grantcart   Mar-23-08 06:51 PM   #17 
  - Of course the Pledged Delegates At-Large should even things up a bit for the state winner  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 06:36 PM   #10 
     - so can you put it altogether and make a projection on pledged delegates?  grantcart   Mar-23-08 06:53 PM   #19 
        - Christ, now that would take a lot of work! And their are so many variables that I can't divine  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 07:01 PM   #24 
           - Do you have a list of the districts and how many delegates each have?  grantcart   Mar-23-08 08:13 PM   #33 
              - Here is the list, will look at doing this...  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 08:31 PM   #34 
                 - great how did you find it?  grantcart   Mar-23-08 08:38 PM   #36 
                 - surfing...  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 08:56 PM   #38 
                 - I just PM'd this guy - he seems to be an expert on PA maybe he can help  grantcart   Mar-23-08 08:43 PM   #37 
                    - Someone Did A Breakdown By District A Couple Of Weeks Ago...  JimGinPA   Mar-24-08 01:22 AM   #42 
                       - that is an excellent find thank you  grantcart   Mar-24-08 01:39 AM   #43 
                       - The Only Thing Is - We Won't Know The Number Of New Voters For At Least A Few Days...  JimGinPA   Mar-24-08 01:49 AM   #44 
                       - Thanks for posting...  usregimechange   Mar-24-08 07:55 PM   #46 
  - Another good analysis! K&R  BumRushDaShow   Mar-23-08 06:12 PM   #6 
  - Are you saying Clinton should win Indiana as well but Obama has a chance?  rug   Mar-23-08 06:36 PM   #9 
  - She should because the demographics favor her but Obama can if he can draw off of her voters  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 06:41 PM   #12 
     - IN has less Blacks than the national average, is less educated, demos favor her  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 06:43 PM   #13 
     - There is another factor that no one is tracking:  grantcart   Mar-23-08 06:55 PM   #20 
        - Excellent point, and they would be correct imo  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 07:09 PM   #27 
     - Thanks for the clarification. Good stuff.  rug   Mar-23-08 06:47 PM   #14 
  - What's your gut feeling on how Indiana will turnout percentagewise?  malik flavors   Mar-23-08 06:40 PM   #11 
  - Even though the demos favor Clinton, this is near Obama's home state and guys...  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 06:52 PM   #18 
     - And having lived in NW Indiana for 7+ years, I can tell you that that area IS Chicago East  SoCalDem   Mar-23-08 08:37 PM   #35 
  - Great Work  DemocratSinceBirth   Mar-23-08 06:49 PM   #15 
  - You are right and that is a major weakness in this. Not that polling doesn't have its weaknesses..  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 06:58 PM   #22 
     - I'm Making A Subjective Observation Not An Empirical One  DemocratSinceBirth   Mar-23-08 07:01 PM   #23 
        - Yeah, it would be sad but this, like polling, only gives us an indication...  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 07:05 PM   #25 
           - What Do You Think These Demographic Trends Portend For The General  DemocratSinceBirth   Mar-23-08 07:08 PM   #26 
              - We will lose some and gain others but Bush and co may assist us the most in keeping many of them on  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 07:12 PM   #28 
              - Hillary Has Working Class Whites, Latinos, Females, And Older People  DemocratSinceBirth   Mar-23-08 07:18 PM   # 
              - And we would lose some and gain others with either candidate...  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 07:15 PM   #29 
                 - Hillary Has Working Class Whites, Latinos, Females, And Older People  DemocratSinceBirth   Mar-23-08 07:21 PM   #31 
  - Nice work!  crispini   Mar-23-08 06:55 PM   #21 
  - don't forget factor I  mopinko   Mar-23-08 07:18 PM   #30 
  - I was checking out your PA anaylsis.  blue neen   Mar-23-08 08:12 PM   #32 
  - That ring of "old people" counties is kind of interesting.  Zynx   Mar-23-08 09:01 PM   #39 
  - Little farm communites.... the last of the family farms  SoCalDem   Mar-23-08 09:02 PM   #40 
  - Yep, Indiana is like an age doughnut!  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 10:28 PM   #41 
  - K&R - I would also watch the counties that border IL like Vermilion  Tatiana   Mar-24-08 02:41 AM   #45 

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators

Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC