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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
usregimechange Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-24-08 07:55 PM
Response to Reply #42
46. Thanks for posting...
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  -Indiana County-level Projections based on Demographic Characteristics usregimechange  Mar-23-08 09:24 AM   #0 
  - This is an excellent analysis. Thanks for posting it!  phrigndumass   Mar-23-08 09:28 AM   #1 
  - Your welcome! I have started on NC but I want to look at Oregon too  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 09:34 AM   #2 
  - Posting maps not used in the OP but that still may be of interest...  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 05:36 PM   #3 
  - population Lake co  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 06:00 PM   #4 
  - You should charge per view to help your fund raising lol  grantcart   Mar-23-08 06:08 PM   #5 
  - The Philly districts appear to be weighted a bit more than others, advantage Obama  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 06:23 PM   #7 
  - This is typical of all the states. Now here is the irony. The way that the system is  grantcart   Mar-23-08 06:50 PM   #16 
  - Lets say Obama wins district 2 in Philly by 74%, he would get 7 delegates to Hillary's 2. and...  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 06:31 PM   #8 
  - I just made the same point up thread lol  grantcart   Mar-23-08 06:51 PM   #17 
  - Of course the Pledged Delegates At-Large should even things up a bit for the state winner  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 06:36 PM   #10 
     - so can you put it altogether and make a projection on pledged delegates?  grantcart   Mar-23-08 06:53 PM   #19 
        - Christ, now that would take a lot of work! And their are so many variables that I can't divine  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 07:01 PM   #24 
           - Do you have a list of the districts and how many delegates each have?  grantcart   Mar-23-08 08:13 PM   #33 
              - Here is the list, will look at doing this...  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 08:31 PM   #34 
                 - great how did you find it?  grantcart   Mar-23-08 08:38 PM   #36 
                 - surfing...  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 08:56 PM   #38 
                 - I just PM'd this guy - he seems to be an expert on PA maybe he can help  grantcart   Mar-23-08 08:43 PM   #37 
                    - Someone Did A Breakdown By District A Couple Of Weeks Ago...  JimGinPA   Mar-24-08 01:22 AM   #42 
                       - that is an excellent find thank you  grantcart   Mar-24-08 01:39 AM   #43 
                       - The Only Thing Is - We Won't Know The Number Of New Voters For At Least A Few Days...  JimGinPA   Mar-24-08 01:49 AM   #44 
                       - Thanks for posting...  usregimechange   Mar-24-08 07:55 PM   #46 
  - Another good analysis! K&R  BumRushDaShow   Mar-23-08 06:12 PM   #6 
  - Are you saying Clinton should win Indiana as well but Obama has a chance?  rug   Mar-23-08 06:36 PM   #9 
  - She should because the demographics favor her but Obama can if he can draw off of her voters  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 06:41 PM   #12 
     - IN has less Blacks than the national average, is less educated, demos favor her  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 06:43 PM   #13 
     - There is another factor that no one is tracking:  grantcart   Mar-23-08 06:55 PM   #20 
        - Excellent point, and they would be correct imo  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 07:09 PM   #27 
     - Thanks for the clarification. Good stuff.  rug   Mar-23-08 06:47 PM   #14 
  - What's your gut feeling on how Indiana will turnout percentagewise?  malik flavors   Mar-23-08 06:40 PM   #11 
  - Even though the demos favor Clinton, this is near Obama's home state and guys...  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 06:52 PM   #18 
     - And having lived in NW Indiana for 7+ years, I can tell you that that area IS Chicago East  SoCalDem   Mar-23-08 08:37 PM   #35 
  - Great Work  DemocratSinceBirth   Mar-23-08 06:49 PM   #15 
  - You are right and that is a major weakness in this. Not that polling doesn't have its weaknesses..  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 06:58 PM   #22 
     - I'm Making A Subjective Observation Not An Empirical One  DemocratSinceBirth   Mar-23-08 07:01 PM   #23 
        - Yeah, it would be sad but this, like polling, only gives us an indication...  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 07:05 PM   #25 
           - What Do You Think These Demographic Trends Portend For The General  DemocratSinceBirth   Mar-23-08 07:08 PM   #26 
              - We will lose some and gain others but Bush and co may assist us the most in keeping many of them on  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 07:12 PM   #28 
              - Hillary Has Working Class Whites, Latinos, Females, And Older People  DemocratSinceBirth   Mar-23-08 07:18 PM   # 
              - And we would lose some and gain others with either candidate...  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 07:15 PM   #29 
                 - Hillary Has Working Class Whites, Latinos, Females, And Older People  DemocratSinceBirth   Mar-23-08 07:21 PM   #31 
  - Nice work!  crispini   Mar-23-08 06:55 PM   #21 
  - don't forget factor I  mopinko   Mar-23-08 07:18 PM   #30 
  - I was checking out your PA anaylsis.  blue neen   Mar-23-08 08:12 PM   #32 
  - That ring of "old people" counties is kind of interesting.  Zynx   Mar-23-08 09:01 PM   #39 
  - Little farm communites.... the last of the family farms  SoCalDem   Mar-23-08 09:02 PM   #40 
  - Yep, Indiana is like an age doughnut!  usregimechange   Mar-23-08 10:28 PM   #41 
  - K&R - I would also watch the counties that border IL like Vermilion  Tatiana   Mar-24-08 02:41 AM   #45 
 

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