Reply #49: I think she gained some traction before Ohio and Texas

[CreekDog]

but then steered her campaign car off the road by overreaching wildly this week and it's backfiring.

That said I remember my "stages" of moving from Clinton to Obama:

1) frustration with Clinton thinking she might alienate the party's black voters to win the nomination
2) flirting with Edwards, even donating until he dropped out
3) voting for Obama, donating
4) Obama wins a bunch of contests and I get really nervous that I ditched Hillary too hastily
5) further examination of Obama makes me more comfortable with him and confident in my original switch

4 and 5 are key moments. Remember, Obama's support is largely coming from people who at one time were prepared to vote for HRC. There will undoubtedly be some reticence and back and forth before a truly final decision is made, but Obama is closing that deal for many and Hillary seems like she's alienating many who flirt but are torn.