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I hope Obama fans here are ready for the possibility that Hillary will pull it out in TX and OH [View All]

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More Than A Feeling Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-01-08 08:10 PM
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I hope Obama fans here are ready for the possibility that Hillary will pull it out in TX and OH
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Texas Tracking Polls Show Clinton Gaining

by Todd Beeton, Sat Mar 01, 2008 at 07:07:23 PM EST

This is very interesting, both the Reuters/Zogby and the WFAA/Belo tracking polls show Hillary Clinton gaining on Barack Obama in their most recent batches of polling.

Candidate Reuters/Zogby 2/27-29 (2/26-28) WFAA/Belo 2/26-28 (2/25-27) RCP 5-poll Ave.
Obama 45 (48) 45 (46) 45.8
Clinton 43 (42) 46 (45) 45

Which is really to say that it's all tied up, but Clinton will no doubt take it over "Obama's running away with this thing," which seemed to be the case just a day ago. Since yesterday, the RCP average has gone from Obama up by more than 2% to Obama up by less than 1%.

So, what's responsible for Clinton's renewed strength?

John Zogby's analysis:

Hillary Clinton may be making a connection with Democratic voters in Texas, especially among those in key demographic groups that have supported her all year. Among those age 65 and older, she has made strong gains in the last 24 hours of polling. She also retains a big lead among Hispanic voters in Texas, and has made small gains among white voters.

In other words, Hillary's base is coming home, just as they did, you'll recall, in New Hampshire.

Hillary's not going down easy.
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  -I hope Obama fans here are ready for the possibility that Hillary will pull it out in TX and OH Heaven and Earth  Mar-01-08 08:10 PM   #0 
  - Define "pull it out". nt  gateley   Mar-01-08 08:11 PM   #1 
  - Do enough to keep the party from publicly/privately pressuring her to concede.  Heaven and Earth   Mar-01-08 08:14 PM   #4 
     - The Clinton Campaign will find a way...  dchill   Mar-01-08 08:15 PM   #9 
     - It could happen --  gateley   Mar-01-08 08:41 PM   #34 
  - I fully expect it to be close in both states.  Kittycat   Mar-01-08 08:12 PM   #2 
  - God I can not wait until Tuesday,  stop the bleeding   Mar-01-08 08:12 PM   #3 
  - it may be close, but not the 65% that she needs to make up from 11 losses in a row  NightWatcher   Mar-01-08 08:14 PM   #5 
  - I thought she had to get 97% and lose 25 pounds to be considered viable.  rug   Mar-01-08 08:17 PM   #13 
     - LOL  Crisco   Mar-01-08 08:20 PM   #20 
     - Uncalled for. eom  smiley_glad_hands   Mar-02-08 01:23 AM   #43 
     - it certainly couldn't hurt.  Gonnabuymeagun   Mar-02-08 04:26 PM   #52 
  - Are Hillary fans preparing that she may not pull it off?  Yael   Mar-01-08 08:14 PM   #6 
  - I plan to vote for her.  lizzy   Mar-01-08 08:16 PM   #10 
  - That is completely American  stop the bleeding   Mar-01-08 08:21 PM   #22 
     - I agree.  Political Heretic   Mar-02-08 02:14 AM   #44 
  - Of course not. They think she's OWED the nomination.  Zhade   Mar-02-08 04:59 PM   #64 
  - God help Hillary if it ends up being CLOSE -- Remember: She must win Big to Survive  quantass   Mar-01-08 08:15 PM   #7 
  - I hope Hillary fans are ready to uproot the goal posts again....  LostInAnomie   Mar-01-08 08:15 PM   #8 
  - The firewall is now Guam. n/t  dchill   Mar-01-08 08:16 PM   #11 
  - Lol  Indenturedebtor   Mar-01-08 08:19 PM   #18 
  - I don't know. Have they voted yet at the Antarctic base station?  IDemo   Mar-01-08 08:35 PM   #33 
  - true...  quantass   Mar-01-08 08:17 PM   #12 
  - The goal posts have been sited in Rhode Island. n/t  greguganus   Mar-01-08 08:18 PM   # 
  - She needs to win with at least 65% in both places.  Pirate Smile   Mar-01-08 08:17 PM   #14 
  - She was ahead in both states by around 20 points 3 weeks ago.  RBInMaine   Mar-01-08 08:17 PM   #15 
  - I think at this point, she'll take what she can get and be grateful  Heaven and Earth   Mar-01-08 08:24 PM   #25 
  - Yes, we may well witness another New Hampshire "miracle"  dailykoff   Mar-01-08 08:18 PM   #16 
  - What was the delegate totals for NH?  landonb16   Mar-01-08 08:33 PM   #32 
  - these are two states easiest to rig the elections in, so its possible  WillYourVoteBCounted   Mar-01-08 08:18 PM   #17 
  - Yes, exactly.  dailykoff   Mar-01-08 08:20 PM   #21 
  - Look, in 2006 Ohio threw those effing bums out  mtnester   Mar-02-08 04:37 AM   #48 
     - Clinton's already trying to cheat via MI/FL/TX.  Zhade   Mar-02-08 05:05 PM   #65 
  - This is the same poll that came out yesterday  sandnsea   Mar-01-08 08:19 PM   #19 
  - If you say so.  Heaven and Earth   Mar-01-08 08:23 PM   #23 
  - We'll see.  blogslut   Mar-01-08 08:24 PM   #24 
  - Narrow wins just give her cover to take it to the convention even though numerically she can't win.  Mojambo   Mar-01-08 08:25 PM   #26 
  - Momentum shift.  splat   Mar-01-08 08:29 PM   #29 
     - You wish.  Zhade   Mar-02-08 05:06 PM   #66 
  - Why should I care either way  Teaser   Mar-01-08 08:26 PM   #27 
  - I spent my entire Saturday organizing for Obama in PA.  Kristi1696   Mar-01-08 08:28 PM   #28 
  - LOOK at this trend....  landonb16   Mar-01-08 08:32 PM   #30 
  - Considering that Hillary was ahead in Texas by a soo much after Wisconsin.....  FrenchieCat   Mar-01-08 08:32 PM   #31 
  - I think that is a possibility, but both states will be close so will the delegates  book_worm   Mar-01-08 08:43 PM   #35 
  - I expect Obama to do well...  stillcool47   Mar-01-08 08:55 PM   #36 
  - all 4 states  johnnydrama   Mar-01-08 09:48 PM   #37 
  - Pull  Beregond2   Mar-01-08 10:40 PM   #38 
  - I just went thru 30 articles of local newspapers to see if there was  grantcart   Mar-01-08 11:14 PM   #39 
  - Unless she wins with margins in the 60's, she lost  Wolsh   Mar-01-08 11:15 PM   #40 
  - WHOO HOOO!!!!!!!! Thanks for posting.  LadyVT   Mar-01-08 11:24 PM   #41 
  - I expect her to get single digit wins in both OH & TX. But that won't help her. nt  indie_ana_500   Mar-01-08 11:25 PM   #42 
  - I am sticking with my TX: Obama +6 Ohio: Clinton +1 prediction  Political Heretic   Mar-02-08 02:15 AM   #45 
  - Three more days. n/t  tasteblind   Mar-02-08 04:28 AM   #46 
  - Even if she wins narrowly in OH and TX,; it's not enough.  cali   Mar-02-08 04:33 AM   #47 
  - Even if Hill Wins in TX & OH  From The Left   Mar-02-08 05:19 AM   #49 
  - I am. I consider myself a "realist." She would gain "bragging rights."..  Kahuna   Mar-02-08 07:27 AM   #50 
  - You mean her supporters will have to be realists, too.  Heaven and Earth   Mar-02-08 04:46 PM   #61 
  - She needs to pull it out with foolish numbers to take the lead and  Vinca   Mar-02-08 07:35 AM   #51 
  - Gaining? She was ahead by 20 points a couple of weeks ago! (nm)  lynyrd_skynyrd   Mar-02-08 04:29 PM   #53 
  - They'll go from denial to anger to psychosis in a nanosecond.  rug   Mar-02-08 04:32 PM   #54 
  - Why not quote the new Zogby poll that has Obama +2 over the old poll?  Drunken Irishman   Mar-02-08 04:34 PM   #55 
  - Didn't know there was one.  Heaven and Earth   Mar-02-08 04:41 PM   #58 
  - Oh, well the new Zogby poll has Obama up again.  Drunken Irishman   Mar-02-08 04:48 PM   #62 
  - you are not too smart are you?---or else you can see op posted last evening.  rodeodance   Mar-02-08 04:42 PM   #59 
  - I'm ready. Was Hillary ready to go 0-11 with the closest loss by 17 points?  faygokid   Mar-02-08 04:36 PM   #56 
  - Clearly not.  Heaven and Earth   Mar-02-08 04:44 PM   #60 
  - You are doing good work Hillary--keep it up  rodeodance   Mar-02-08 04:39 PM   #57 
  - we are ready, are Clinton supporters ready for it to not help? To Little To Late  Johnny__Motown   Mar-02-08 04:50 PM   #63 
  - Pull what out? A few weeks ago she was ahead by double digits  still_one   Mar-02-08 05:12 PM   #67 
  - Tuesday  Robbins   Mar-02-08 06:06 PM   #68 
     - I am not arguing that it is close, I am arguing that if this is the way she runs a campaign  still_one   Mar-02-08 06:12 PM   #69 
  - The only real risk to Obama is Clinton getting 60 percent of the vote  theboss   Mar-02-08 06:14 PM   #70 

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