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Reply #5: It's because of the math [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
stahbrett Donating Member (855 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-26-08 02:52 PM
Response to Reply #2
5. It's because of the math
In order for Hillary Clinton to just catch up to Obama, she needs to win something like 58% of all remaining delegates. Then when you realize that Obama is likely to win big in many of the remaining 16 elections, that percentage goes up in the states where she will likely win/have a chance.

Can she win in Texas, Ohio, and Pennsylvania? Sure, it's definitely possible. Can she win by the margins needed to actually catch up in delegates? No, barring some "dead girl/live boy" picture of Obama surfacing.

So the strategy is to get the delegate closer, and then make the argument to the super-delegates that she's better able to beat McCain. THAT is where the national polls can be used by either or both sides. I guess Clinton would point to the tracking polls, and Obama would point to the national polls.
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