You are viewing an obsolete version of the DU website which is no longer supported by the Administrators. Visit The New DU.
Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

Reply #5: It's because of the math [View All]

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
stahbrett Donating Member (855 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-26-08 02:52 PM
Response to Reply #2
5. It's because of the math
In order for Hillary Clinton to just catch up to Obama, she needs to win something like 58% of all remaining delegates. Then when you realize that Obama is likely to win big in many of the remaining 16 elections, that percentage goes up in the states where she will likely win/have a chance.

Can she win in Texas, Ohio, and Pennsylvania? Sure, it's definitely possible. Can she win by the margins needed to actually catch up in delegates? No, barring some "dead girl/live boy" picture of Obama surfacing.

So the strategy is to get the delegate closer, and then make the argument to the super-delegates that she's better able to beat McCain. THAT is where the national polls can be used by either or both sides. I guess Clinton would point to the tracking polls, and Obama would point to the national polls.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
  -Obama vs. Clinton: Two different polls cbayer  Feb-26-08 02:30 PM   #0 
  - national polls will not have much effect (other than possibly on superdelegates)  stahbrett   Feb-26-08 02:35 PM   #1 
  - But they do reflect the will of the people to some extent.  cbayer   Feb-26-08 02:42 PM   #2 
     - It's because of the math  stahbrett   Feb-26-08 02:52 PM   #5 
  - the NYT wanted a poll biased to Obama - and got it - so as to get the vote for winner crowd  papau   Feb-26-08 02:45 PM   #3 
  - You mean the NYT that endorsed Clinton? That one?  hnmnf   Feb-26-08 02:46 PM   #4 
  - YEP - the same one that pretends no bias and some left bent - surprised?  papau   Feb-26-08 02:53 PM   #6 
  - Where does the NYT come in here?  cbayer   Feb-26-08 02:55 PM   #8 
  - One Poll Is Wrong And One Poll Is Right  DemocratSinceBirth   Feb-26-08 02:54 PM   #7 
     - Extraordinarily divergent results.  cbayer   Feb-26-08 02:57 PM   #9 
 

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC