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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
grantcart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-22-08 10:15 AM
Response to Reply #2
35. all of those complexities including 1/3 of the delegates being
caucus and the fact that past voting patterns determine delegate distribution favor Obama in a major way. CD with large African American demos have substantially more delegates than those with hispanic voters. It all goes to who voted for Bush and who voted for Kerry

In Texas there is no bonus delegates for the winning the state.

It all favors Obama.
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  -ATTN: Obama +14 in Texas!!! mckeown1128  Feb-22-08 07:56 AM   #0 
  - Game, set and match (n/t)  harun   Feb-22-08 07:57 AM   #1 
  - No, IT IS NOT OVER, there is quite a few undecideds in those polls  still_one   Feb-22-08 08:00 AM   #2 
  - I think the general consensus is that Obama has the better  mckeown1128   Feb-22-08 08:04 AM   #4 
  - First of all, I am not a Hillary supporter, I am a Barrack supporter  still_one   Feb-22-08 08:12 AM   #10 
     - You are forgetting two things...  mckeown1128   Feb-22-08 08:51 AM   #29 
        - Appreciate the analysis, it makes sense /nt  still_one   Feb-22-08 11:38 AM   #45 
        - No problem...  mckeown1128   Feb-22-08 12:49 PM   #52 
        - Excellent analysis, wish we could recommend individual posts.  apocalypsehow   Feb-22-08 03:45 PM   #60 
  - Hillary's broke.  tekisui   Feb-22-08 08:10 AM   #8 
  - Lay off it, I am an Obama supporter, and have been from the start  still_one   Feb-22-08 08:15 AM   #11 
     - Reasonably, she is in debt, and cannot compete in these big markets.  tekisui   Feb-22-08 08:21 AM   #16 
     - Well, if that happens then you are correct. However isn't the states left  still_one   Feb-22-08 08:26 AM   #20 
        - The Pledged Delegates left to be voted in State Primaries and Cauceses  tekisui   Feb-22-08 08:31 AM   #22 
           - Wow, I screwed up big time then. Thanks for the information /nt  still_one   Feb-22-08 08:39 AM   #26 
     - FYI, Barack has one "r"  48percenter   Feb-22-08 08:40 AM   #27 
  - NH, that was decades ago in politics  48percenter   Feb-22-08 08:22 AM   #18 
  - Agreed, I was using it only because it was the undecideds that determined that  still_one   Feb-22-08 08:27 AM   #21 
  - HRC will not get indies or undecideds  mkultra   Feb-22-08 09:09 AM   #30 
  - all of those complexities including 1/3 of the delegates being  grantcart   Feb-22-08 10:15 AM   #35 
  - Sorry thats just not true.  Egnever   Feb-22-08 10:23 AM   #37 
  - Undecideds break for Obama.  TheWraith   Feb-22-08 03:15 PM   #57 
  - Hillary having to win Texas by 20% IS your preferred delusion  Tom Rinaldo   Feb-22-08 08:01 AM   #3 
  - No, just 15%. That is, unless you honestly believe  Occam Bandage   Feb-22-08 08:08 AM   #7 
  - I agree the SD will not vote against the pledged delegates  still_one   Feb-22-08 08:18 AM   #14 
  - No. It is far from that simple  Tom Rinaldo   Feb-22-08 08:20 AM   #15 
  - I am an Obama supporter, and just looking at the numbers, not only is it close  still_one   Feb-22-08 08:21 AM   #17 
  - actually, it is supported by mathmatics  mkultra   Feb-22-08 10:05 AM   #34 
  - Sorry but she has to have it just to pull even with him in the delegate count  Egnever   Feb-22-08 10:28 AM   #40 
  - I smell the start of butt whipping recipe...  NDambi   Feb-22-08 08:07 AM   #5 
  - I'd wait till SUSA has their latest poll out, but there is definately a trend against Hillary in Tex  Independent-Voter   Feb-22-08 08:07 AM   #6 
  - Obama is ahead in Texas and will win it by 8 or more points.  TexasObserver   Feb-22-08 08:12 AM   #9 
  - The problems with the pollsters this year  hogwyld   Feb-22-08 10:17 AM   #36 
  - Exactly. They build a model which explains the half of the vote that voted last time.  TexasObserver   Feb-22-08 10:24 AM   #38 
  - We shall see ;). You don't think Clinton's closing will help her a lot?  loveangelc   Feb-22-08 12:00 PM   #51 
     - Her closing was a veiled concession speech.....  scheming daemons   Feb-22-08 12:50 PM   #53 
     - didnt someone post something about her internals having her up no less than 5 in oh and tx?  loveangelc   Feb-22-08 03:06 PM   #54 
     - Yes We Shall!! I think her closing was good because it portends the END.  TexasObserver   Feb-22-08 05:48 PM   #63 
  - We'll see how much mud the Hillaryworld thugs throw at Obama now  zulchzulu   Feb-22-08 08:17 AM   #12 
  - GOBAMA!!!!  workinclasszero   Feb-22-08 08:17 AM   #13 
  - A very wise man name Yogi Bera once said  northernsoul   Feb-22-08 08:25 AM   #19 
  - he also said  mkultra   Feb-22-08 09:10 AM   #31 
  - LOL -  depakid   Feb-22-08 08:33 AM   #23 
  - which polls in the last eleven contests with O in front have been wrong?  dmsRoar   Feb-22-08 08:37 AM   #24 
     - None.  I Vote In Pittsburgh   Feb-22-08 11:00 AM   #43 
     - How many should I cite?  depakid   Feb-22-08 05:24 PM   #61 
  - Very.Good. News.  GalleryGod   Feb-22-08 08:37 AM   #25 
  - Not over.  mmcghenn   Feb-22-08 08:46 AM   #28 
  - Jonathan Alter might be right  tridim   Feb-22-08 09:46 AM   #32 
  - I hope he's wrong and I support Obama.  ORDem   Feb-22-08 11:58 AM   #48 
  - I think there's something to what you're saying!  0007   Feb-22-08 09:48 AM   #33 
  - I don't buy this poll. Obama is coming on strong and may have tied HRC, but he's not ahead by 14  book_worm   Feb-22-08 10:25 AM   #39 
  - I don't buy it either  I Vote In Pittsburgh   Feb-22-08 11:02 AM   #44 
  - It reminds me of those polls that had Obama...  AX10   Feb-22-08 11:44 AM   #46 
  - Agreed. It's an outlier, but overall the trend is not HRC's friend. n/t  ORDem   Feb-22-08 11:59 AM   #50 
  - I'm starting to feel sorry for Hillary.  greguganus   Feb-22-08 10:40 AM   #41 
  - Save it. She doesn't need it.  DemCam   Feb-22-08 05:57 PM   #66 
  - It's Gonna Happen!  Khaotic   Feb-22-08 10:51 AM   #42 
  - Original OP are you series?  catagory5   Feb-22-08 11:48 AM   #47 
     - She's down almost 150.  Spider Jerusalem   Feb-22-08 03:17 PM   #58 
     - Here is math if you can follow it.  mckeown1128   Feb-22-08 03:37 PM   #59 
  - Its not over yet. We will have to just see in about a week.  loveangelc   Feb-22-08 11:59 AM   #49 
  - Excellent.  BringBigDogBack   Feb-22-08 03:08 PM   #55 
  - i come to praise obama!!  dempartisan23   Feb-22-08 03:09 PM   #56 
  - Holy Guacamole!  rucky   Feb-22-08 05:24 PM   #62 
  - I hope it is true  mdmc   Feb-22-08 05:49 PM   #64 
  - Not accurate BUT.......  adoraz   Feb-22-08 05:53 PM   #65 

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