Reply #42: The Clinton campaign in Texas is in complete disarray.

[TexasObserver]

I've talked to a number of people in venues where Bill has spoken, and they are drawing small crowds that mainly want to see the former president because he's a former president and one they liked while he was in office. But the SALE of Hillary is not taking place.

They've got Bill going to smaller cities, trying to stoke those old Democratic coals in such places as Deep East Texas. The crowds are mainly older and white, except some of the south Texas venues.

A couple of old time pols in the state have witnessed the events and said "they're in deep trouble in Texas."

It's no secret I've been saying Obama would win Texas by 5-15 points since Super Tuesday, and that is happening as we watch. She won't drop below 40% and he won't go above 59% here, so I see 18-19% as his realistic ceiling for the margin of win. I now think his margin of victory will be between 8-19%.

Hillary's campaign doesn't have the organization, the advance men and women needed, the money, the staffers, or the voters to carry the day. It's going to be a big win for the BIG O in Texas.