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Reply #18: The facts say otherwise. [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
Stephanie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-15-08 09:45 PM
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18. The facts say otherwise.




http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1318.xml?ReleaseID=600

February 6, 2000 - Clinton-Giuliani Senate Race Is Too Close To Call, Quinnipiac College Poll Finds; But Voters 50 - 31 Expect Him To Win In November

New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani clings to a narrow 45 - 42 percent lead over First Lady Hillary Rodham Clinton in their too-close-to-call race for the U.S. Senate, according to a Quinnipiac College poll released today. Ten percent are undecided.

By a wider 50 - 31 percent margin, New York State registered voters expect Giuliani to win in November. Among Clinton voters, 19 percent expect Giuliani to win. Among Giuliani voters, 6 percent expect Clinton to win. When the independent Quinnipiac College Poll asked that question in a February 23, 1999, survey, New Yorkers said 57 - 33 percent that they expected Clinton to win. In that poll, she led Giuliani 54 - 36 percent.

Most of Clinton's numbers have declined in the last 12 months, and the head-to-head numbers with Giuliani have been virtually unchanged since October.

From February 2 - 5, Quinnipiac College surveyed 1,072 New York State registered voters. They survey has a margin of error of 3 percent.

"Today's big show by First Lady Hillary Rodham Clinton may cause a thaw, but so far the Senate race seems frozen, with Mayor Giuliani holding on the high side of a sqeaker. Except for a bounce in her favorability, the indicators for Mrs. Clinton have dropped in the last 12 months and even some of her supporters think Mayor Giuliani will become Senator Giuliani," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac College Polling Institute.

"Giuliani continues to roll up big leads upstate and in the suburbs and is even cutting into Clinton's lead in heavily Democratic New York City."

The gender gap has disappeared in this latest survey: Giuliani gets 46 percent of men to Clinton's 42 percent, and 44 percent of women to Clinton's 42 percent, too close to call.

But Giuliani gets 52 percent of the white women vote, to Clinton's 34 percent.

By a 36 - 26 percent margin, voters have a favorable opinion of Giuliani, with 29 percent mixed and 9 percent saying they don't know enough to form an opinion. Giuliani's favorability was 41 - 30 percent in a January 20 Quinnipiac College Poll.

Clinton's favorability is 35 - 30 percent, with 29 percent mixed and 5 percent saying they don't know enough to form an opinion. This is her best favorability rating since June 30, 1999.



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