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Reply #18: The facts say otherwise. [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
Stephanie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-15-08 08:45 PM
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18. The facts say otherwise.

February 6, 2000 - Clinton-Giuliani Senate Race Is Too Close To Call, Quinnipiac College Poll Finds; But Voters 50 - 31 Expect Him To Win In November

New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani clings to a narrow 45 - 42 percent lead over First Lady Hillary Rodham Clinton in their too-close-to-call race for the U.S. Senate, according to a Quinnipiac College poll released today. Ten percent are undecided.

By a wider 50 - 31 percent margin, New York State registered voters expect Giuliani to win in November. Among Clinton voters, 19 percent expect Giuliani to win. Among Giuliani voters, 6 percent expect Clinton to win. When the independent Quinnipiac College Poll asked that question in a February 23, 1999, survey, New Yorkers said 57 - 33 percent that they expected Clinton to win. In that poll, she led Giuliani 54 - 36 percent.

Most of Clinton's numbers have declined in the last 12 months, and the head-to-head numbers with Giuliani have been virtually unchanged since October.

From February 2 - 5, Quinnipiac College surveyed 1,072 New York State registered voters. They survey has a margin of error of 3 percent.

"Today's big show by First Lady Hillary Rodham Clinton may cause a thaw, but so far the Senate race seems frozen, with Mayor Giuliani holding on the high side of a sqeaker. Except for a bounce in her favorability, the indicators for Mrs. Clinton have dropped in the last 12 months and even some of her supporters think Mayor Giuliani will become Senator Giuliani," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac College Polling Institute.

"Giuliani continues to roll up big leads upstate and in the suburbs and is even cutting into Clinton's lead in heavily Democratic New York City."

The gender gap has disappeared in this latest survey: Giuliani gets 46 percent of men to Clinton's 42 percent, and 44 percent of women to Clinton's 42 percent, too close to call.

But Giuliani gets 52 percent of the white women vote, to Clinton's 34 percent.

By a 36 - 26 percent margin, voters have a favorable opinion of Giuliani, with 29 percent mixed and 9 percent saying they don't know enough to form an opinion. Giuliani's favorability was 41 - 30 percent in a January 20 Quinnipiac College Poll.

Clinton's favorability is 35 - 30 percent, with 29 percent mixed and 5 percent saying they don't know enough to form an opinion. This is her best favorability rating since June 30, 1999.

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  -Obama Has a 50% Chance of Winning the WH; McCain 34%; Clinton 17% Stephanie  Feb-15-08 11:42 AM   #0 
  - Cool. An even 121% chance that one of them will make it. nt  Ravy   Feb-15-08 11:44 AM   #1 
  - fixed, thank you  Stephanie   Feb-15-08 11:58 AM   #6 
  - The part of the article where you got the figures for Hill & McCain gives Obama 50%  jlake   Feb-15-08 11:46 AM   #2 
  - Thanks  Stephanie   Feb-15-08 11:49 AM   #4 
  - Great news, but I don't know why anyone would place bets on an election..  tridim   Feb-15-08 11:47 AM   #3 
  - First thing that I thought of when I read the post. When the system...  superkia   Feb-15-08 08:52 PM   #19 
  - By The Way.... 50/50 Means 50%.  OPERATIONMINDCRIME   Feb-15-08 11:50 AM   #5 
  - Thanks, professor.  Blue-Jay   Feb-15-08 08:40 PM   #17 
  - these idots are no more accurate betting on politics than they are on sports  BlueManDude   Feb-15-08 12:02 PM   #7 
  - I cashed out my InTrade account made several months ago  Independent-Voter   Feb-15-08 12:15 PM   #9 
  - Hillary's numbers will skyrocket after Obama is out of the picture. You can bet on it.  oasis   Feb-15-08 12:05 PM   #8 
  - um, ohhhkayyyy  Stephanie   Feb-15-08 08:12 PM   #10 
  - I'd say she's the odds-on favorite for 2016, yes.  Occam Bandage   Feb-15-08 08:23 PM   #15 
     - Just so "Mr. Hope" doesn't make another try in 2012 after McCain wipes the floor with him  oasis   Feb-16-08 07:10 PM   #25 
  - But, which Clinton? And is Bill Bennett covering all of his bets by betting on everyone?  Major Hogwash   Feb-15-08 08:15 PM   #11 
  - Geniuses from all over the country said that Hillary would never win a first term as US Senator, too  mtnsnake   Feb-15-08 08:18 PM   #12 
  - They didn't think she could be Giuliani, and she might not have  Stephanie   Feb-15-08 08:22 PM   #14 
  - She would've creamed Gullini. You know it, Gulaini knew it, everyone knew it  mtnsnake   Feb-15-08 08:39 PM   # 
  - The facts say otherwise.  Stephanie   Feb-15-08 08:45 PM   #18 
     - Facts only relate to something that's already happened, not from speculation  mtnsnake   Feb-15-08 08:56 PM   #20 
        - And the fact is, she was losing in the polls. And another fact is, you were wrong.  Stephanie   Feb-15-08 09:03 PM   #21 
           - Thanks for proving my point, genius. n/t  mtnsnake   Feb-15-08 09:06 PM   #22 
              - Excuse me? "She would've creamed Gullini. You know it, Gulaini knew it, everyone knew it"  Stephanie   Feb-15-08 09:42 PM   #24 
  - dupe, double clicked.  mtnsnake   Feb-15-08 08:39 PM   #16 
  - She's losing???? What part of that don't you understand??? nt  Kahuna   Feb-16-08 07:53 PM   #27 
  - K it's february  sueragingroz   Feb-15-08 08:19 PM   #13 
  - That's The Thing...  JimGinPA   Feb-16-08 07:19 PM   #26 
  - Just like astrology, I like numbers like these when they are favorable.  AtomicKitten   Feb-15-08 09:07 PM   #23 
  - You and me both. I ignored them when they were betting Hillary the past year, so I'll ignore them.  TexasObserver   Feb-16-08 07:55 PM   #30 
  - Gore would have an 80% chance. n/t  Zorra   Feb-16-08 07:53 PM   #28 
  - Gore would have an 80% chance. n/t  Zorra   Feb-16-08 07:53 PM   #29 

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