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Reply #7: I suspect that Obama will get that 10 point Iowa bump [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 06:53 AM
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7. I suspect that Obama will get that 10 point Iowa bump
beyond that it's hard to know how much support Clinton loses. And this schedule is not friendly to her. She only has 4 days to make up lost ground. I don't see her winning it at this point, but I do think she'll take second. How does that set things up for SC? Will African Americans defect to Obama in large numbers? I think that's a reasonable assumption. It's beginning to look to me like Clinton will have to wait for NV for a win. Then she and Obama will battle it out on Super Tuesday. If Edwards drops out and endorses Obama after SC, it's hard to see Clinton getting the nomination.
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  -Zogby-New Hampshire -Clinton 32% Obama 26% Edwards 20% DemocratSinceBirth  Jan-04-08 06:05 AM   #0 
  - Two words: Iowa bump.  ellisonz   Jan-04-08 06:08 AM   #1 
  - Don't do this. You'll upset the Obamites, and they'll start badmouthing everyone again.  Perry Logan   Jan-04-08 06:11 AM   #2 
  - I Will Post And Be Respectful  DemocratSinceBirth   Jan-04-08 06:15 AM   #3 
  - Sounds like sour grapes.  ellisonz   Jan-04-08 06:17 AM   #6 
  - See what I mean?  Perry Logan   Jan-04-08 06:56 AM   #9 
     - That's politics.  ellisonz   Jan-04-08 07:18 AM   #16 
        - I'm fine. I assume it's OK to criticize.  Perry Logan   Jan-04-08 01:13 PM   #24 
  - Like you are badmouthing them in your post....I see  earthlover   Jan-04-08 07:10 AM   #12 
  - what happens if Hillary comes in 3rd in NH ?  JI7   Jan-04-08 06:15 AM   #4 
  - She Will Stay In The Campaign Through February 5th  DemocratSinceBirth   Jan-04-08 06:17 AM   #5 
  - I suspect that Obama will get that 10 point Iowa bump  cali   Jan-04-08 06:53 AM   #7 
  - I agree with your assessment.  earthlover   Jan-04-08 07:13 AM   #13 
  - I agree with your analyses on NH  karynnj   Jan-04-08 07:46 AM   #19 
     - Excellent analysis,karynnj.  zanne   Jan-04-08 08:02 AM   #20 
  - Was this poll taken BEFORE the Iowa caucas or after  bigdarryl   Jan-04-08 06:55 AM   #8 
  - had to have been before  Magic Rat   Jan-04-08 06:57 AM   #11 
  - I was polled by Zogby before the caucus...in the afternoon. nt  zanne   Jan-04-08 07:15 AM   #14 
  - It was before the caucuses began.  Tennessee Gal   Jan-04-08 07:16 AM   #15 
  - Don't believe the polls in New Hampshire...  Raven   Jan-04-08 06:56 AM   #10 
  - Wicked...LOL.....  opihimoimoi   Jan-04-08 07:22 AM   #17 
  - LOL!  Lurking Dem   Jan-04-08 08:40 AM   #23 
  - This was taken before the Iowa caucuses...to use as a baseline  SaveElmer   Jan-04-08 07:27 AM   #18 
  - Zogby holds the title(so far) of being the most erratic of the polls.  Didereaux   Jan-04-08 08:23 AM   #21 
  - Yep ...  Cosmocat   Jan-04-08 01:21 PM   #25 
  - watch tomorrow for the first uptick of an Obama bump from Iowa  book_worm   Jan-04-08 08:38 AM   #22 
 

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