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Reply #8: New Hampshire's getting interesting, oh my [View All]

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Adelante Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Dec-09-07 08:52 AM
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8. New Hampshire's getting interesting, oh my

How much progress has Obama made in this state? He's now the Democrat with the highest FAV rating (matching Bill Clinton).

Like Iowa, Hillary leads among women, but a quarter of women are undecided. Can Oprah make a difference for Obama here? Obama's support is overwhelmingly among independents and those under 50.

Also of note, we tested potential 2-way Dem primary matchups between Clinton and Obama and then Clinton v. Edwards. Edwards voters break overwhelmingly for Clinton in New Hampshire, while Obama voters break nearly 3-1 for Edwards. If Clinton and Edwards are sharing some supporters, doesn't that signal that those two may begin going after each other more so than Obama, gambling that the Illinois senator's support is younger and less likely to vote?

Looking at what voters most want in a candidate, Obama leads overwhelmingly on change and is seen as more honest than Clinton. That's good news for him, because those are two of the top three things voters are looking for in a candidate. Issues, though, is No. 1 and Clinton leads that by 12 points.
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  -BREAKING NEWS: Obama Closing in IA, NH and SC Hope And Change  Dec-09-07 08:24 AM   #0 
  - Just wait till he gets that big NH welcome tonignt...  zanne   Dec-09-07 08:30 AM   #1 
  - The Obama grassroots movement has the pedal to the medal!  zulchzulu   Dec-09-07 08:44 AM   #2 
  - Ah..."medal" not "metal"!  jefferson_dem   Dec-09-07 08:48 AM   #6 
  - Those numbers are closer than other polls  creeksneakers2   Dec-09-07 08:46 AM   #3 
  - Great news. The NH results are especially tasty.  jefferson_dem   Dec-09-07 08:46 AM   #4 
  - yeip. Obama's got virtually all the momentum  cali   Dec-09-07 08:46 AM   #5 
  - "John Edwards is a major factor in Iowa and South Carolina but trails badly in New Hampshire. "  SaveElmer   Dec-09-07 08:51 AM   #7 
  - Hope And Change made a typo. Edwards is at 18% in South Carolina  Progress And Change   Dec-09-07 10:02 AM   #22 
  - New Hampshire's getting interesting, oh my  WesDem   Dec-09-07 08:52 AM   #8 
  - I still don't know why Clinton is seen with experience when you have Biden and Dodd and Richarsdon.  bigdarryl   Dec-09-07 09:00 AM   #9 
  - That's the closest I've ever seen NH...  Bullet1987   Dec-09-07 09:08 AM   #10 
  - Experience  izquierdista   Dec-09-07 09:24 AM   #12 
     - yeah, because that's all she did for eight years in the WH  cali   Dec-09-07 09:32 AM   #14 
  - he he he he he he he he he  Bitwit1234   Dec-09-07 09:24 AM   #11 
  - Kidding!?! - Obama can only grow in numbers from here on out...I'm going skiing...Yessss.!  Imagevision   Dec-09-07 09:28 AM   #13 
  - They love being told......  suston96   Dec-09-07 09:32 AM   #15 
  - Close friends who are pretty committed to Democratic politics in Iowa report  Old Crusoe   Dec-09-07 09:36 AM   #16 
  - Here is the polling data  WesDem   Dec-09-07 09:38 AM   #17 
  - Here ya go........Dec 8, 2003......  suston96   Dec-09-07 09:59 AM   #18 
  - Based on the commanding lead in polling, there's no question that Howard Dean  Old Crusoe   Dec-09-07 10:01 AM   #20 
  - Wow... there's now a statistical tie in all three states.  ClarkUSA   Dec-09-07 10:01 AM   #19 
  - of course he is gaining or ahead in iowa  madrchsod   Dec-09-07 10:02 AM   #21 
  - Illegal students?  WesDem   Dec-09-07 10:16 AM   #30 
  - I just noticed the sarcasm tag  WesDem   Dec-09-07 10:18 AM   #32 
     - that`s ok, i have done the samething...  madrchsod   Dec-09-07 10:50 AM   #37 
        - Well, I guess I told you anyhow!!  WesDem   Dec-09-07 10:52 AM   #39 
  - "Edwards voters break overwhelmingly for Clinton in New Hampshire"  Progress And Change   Dec-09-07 10:05 AM   #23 
  - Edwards voters breaking for Clinton...  bunnies   Dec-09-07 10:09 AM   #26 
  - Clinton is more progressive than Obama, i.e. she is for UHC while Obama is not  Progress And Change   Dec-09-07 10:12 AM   #29 
  - that health care meme doesnt fly with me.  bunnies   Dec-09-07 10:27 AM   #34 
  - No surprise to me  WesDem   Dec-09-07 10:20 AM   #33 
     - But how is that possible?  bunnies   Dec-09-07 10:31 AM   #35 
        - The differences are just not that significant  WesDem   Dec-09-07 10:50 AM   #38 
           - Yes... I spose you're correct.  bunnies   Dec-09-07 11:14 AM   #41 
  - "Obama's support is overwhelmingly among independents"  Bleachers7   Dec-09-07 10:10 AM   #27 
  - Iowa is no big deal. NH and SC are shocking  Bleachers7   Dec-09-07 10:07 AM   #24 
  - And this is before the anticipated "Oprah bump"  ClarkUSA   Dec-09-07 10:11 AM   #28 
     - I'm thinking about that one.  Bleachers7   Dec-09-07 10:17 AM   #31 
  - Those are beautiful numbers!  Katzenkavalier   Dec-09-07 10:08 AM   #25 
  - The generational gap is amazing. Clinton basically relying on the 50+ vote for her numbers. nm  TeamJordan23   Dec-09-07 10:31 AM   #36 
  - How can he be closing in Iowa when he was pulling away in Iowa?  Karmadillo   Dec-09-07 10:54 AM   #40 
  - Yes!  Califooyah Operative   Dec-10-07 01:04 AM   #42 
  - Obama needs to hit Iraq and hit it hard in the next news cycle.  ellisonz   Dec-10-07 05:44 AM   #43 
  - It's going to be so heartbreaking when he blows it.  Perry Logan   Dec-10-07 05:55 AM   #44 

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