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Reply #55: Most polls show Edwards leading in Iowa. This was one of the polls that had HRC leading... [View All]

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draft_mario_cuomo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-27-07 02:41 PM
Response to Reply #52
55. Most polls show Edwards leading in Iowa. This was one of the polls that had HRC leading...
Edited on Fri Jul-27-07 02:43 PM by draft_mario_cuomo
(Edwards has lead in 10 of the last 14 Iowa polls) That increases its significance. Moreover, the trends are clear in this poll. Both HRC and Obama lost 6 points...

I know you are a BO supporter. The last couple of Iowa polls all show the same declining trend for Obama. For instance, the Iowa poll prior to this one had Obama in 3rd at 13% (after a peak of 23%). I don't know why Obama is doing well in NH yet struggling in Iowa but it is clear he is on the decline in Iowa and on pace to fall to 4th soon.

I think supporters of a certain candidate need to recognize that polls that show your candidate doing well are not the only valid polls. ;)
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  -Edwards overtakes HRC for the lead in new Iowa poll!!!! Richardson closing in on Obama for 3rd draft_mario_cuomo  Jul-26-07 09:54 PM   #0 
  - Well, well, well...  polichick   Jul-26-07 09:56 PM   #1 
  - This is not a bit of news...  Tandalayo_Scheisskopf   Jul-26-07 09:58 PM   #2 
  - you got that right  frogcycle   Jul-26-07 10:07 PM   #7 
  - Good for Edwards...Obama's slide is not good for him though...  SaveElmer   Jul-26-07 10:00 PM   #3 
  - I think all Edwards has to do is win Iowa  draft_mario_cuomo   Jul-26-07 10:05 PM   #5 
  - Tax plan Edwards announced in Iowa should boost his %s  Augdog20   Jul-27-07 03:37 PM   #57 
     - I agree. Go Edwards!  draft_mario_cuomo   Jul-27-07 04:09 PM   #58 
  - LOL! doesn't look like that Hill and Bill tour did much good either  BeyondGeography   Jul-26-07 10:19 PM   #17 
     - I didn't hear any complaints about the sample size when BO was at 22% in this firm's poll...  draft_mario_cuomo   Jul-26-07 10:22 PM   #19 
     - How  Big Pappa   Jul-26-07 11:59 PM   #35 
        - Here is your answer (and more on advantages in Iowa)  draft_mario_cuomo   Jul-27-07 12:07 AM   #36 
           - Thanx  Big Pappa   Jul-27-07 12:46 AM   #37 
              - When you are raising the kind of money Obama is you can afford to shower $$$$ in Iowa I guess  draft_mario_cuomo   Jul-27-07 01:24 AM   #41 
     - It is if he plans on winning the election...nt  SaveElmer   Jul-26-07 11:11 PM   #33 
  - Good news on both counts  Warpy   Jul-26-07 10:03 PM   #4 
  - I'm with you, Warpy. The entire area inside the beltway stinks to high heaven.  loudsue   Jul-27-07 01:11 AM   #39 
  - This is despite Obama and Clinton outspending him in Iowa (with BO spending 3x more)  draft_mario_cuomo   Jul-26-07 10:07 PM   #6 
  - Edwards has been campaigning in Iowa since 2003  BeyondGeography   Jul-26-07 10:21 PM   #18 
     - And Obama has gotten press since 2004 in eastern Iowa via media coverage of the Illinois senate/race  draft_mario_cuomo   Jul-26-07 10:25 PM   #20 
        - Weak comparison  BeyondGeography   Jul-26-07 10:30 PM   #21 
        - Sure, it is not the same as running in Iowa in 2003-04  draft_mario_cuomo   Jul-26-07 10:31 PM   #23 
        - Your wink doesnt make it true.  IA_Seth   Jul-27-07 04:42 PM   #60 
           - IA may have weird media markets then  draft_mario_cuomo   Jul-27-07 04:56 PM   #61 
              - I'll certainly give ya that!  IA_Seth   Jul-27-07 09:50 PM   #62 
                 - Well, thanks for sharing your on-the-ground insight!  draft_mario_cuomo   Jul-27-07 09:56 PM   #63 
  - I am glad to see  Mojorabbit   Jul-26-07 10:08 PM   #8 
  - Thank you  rwheeler31   Jul-26-07 10:09 PM   #9 
  - too many polls  AtomicKitten   Jul-26-07 10:10 PM   #10 
  - This is the first Iowa poll in a month. That is why it is big news  draft_mario_cuomo   Jul-26-07 10:14 PM   #12 
  - 16% Undecided. Enough said. nm  TeamJordan23   Jul-26-07 10:12 PM   #11 
  - Like in all Obama going to win 70% of that 16% with JE and HRC winning none?  draft_mario_cuomo   Jul-26-07 10:15 PM   #14 
     - Well as you say, do polls this far out really matter? nm  TeamJordan23   Jul-27-07 01:46 AM   #43 
        - They highlight trends  draft_mario_cuomo   Jul-27-07 02:30 AM   #45 
  - pretty small sample...  madrchsod   Jul-26-07 10:15 PM   #13 
  - The poll is not perfect but it is the first IA poll in a month and shows trends from the last poll  draft_mario_cuomo   Jul-26-07 10:18 PM   #16 
  - He'll last about a week after Iowa.  Aya Reiko   Jul-27-07 03:50 AM   #46 
     - He has moved into a tie for 2nd in Nevada with Obama...  draft_mario_cuomo   Jul-27-07 02:34 PM   #54 
        - Which polls are you using?  Aya Reiko   Jul-27-07 11:04 PM   #64 
  - I am happy for Edwards  illinoisprogressive   Jul-26-07 10:18 PM   #15 
  - Interesting, thanks.  mzmolly   Jul-26-07 10:30 PM   #22 
  - No problem  draft_mario_cuomo   Jul-26-07 10:36 PM   #25 
  - Edwards has a grassroots organization in Iowa second to none...  Blackhatjack   Jul-26-07 10:35 PM   #24 
  - I hope this continues for him...his comments about power--  Gloria   Jul-26-07 10:37 PM   #26 
  - finally an Iowa poll  jsamuel   Jul-26-07 10:46 PM   #27 
  - I agree nt  draft_mario_cuomo   Jul-26-07 10:46 PM   #28 
  - Congrats to Edwards. However, this is far from over.  Katzenkavalier   Jul-26-07 10:47 PM   #29 
  - Certainly but it is welcome good news for Edwards supporters  draft_mario_cuomo   Jul-26-07 10:49 PM   #31 
     - Definitely. If he wins the nomination, I'll be happy to volunteer for him.  Katzenkavalier   Jul-26-07 10:50 PM   #32 
  - Go Edwards!  TheOtherMaven   Jul-26-07 10:49 PM   # 
  - good news, happy tohear this. Haven't made any donations but Edwards may get a new one.  caligirl   Jul-26-07 10:49 PM   #30 
  - K&R!!!!  LSK   Jul-26-07 11:55 PM   #34 
  - Anyone know what Richardson is doing there to move him up?  avrdream   Jul-27-07 01:10 AM   #38 
  - He had an effective series of ads that highlighted his impressive resume  draft_mario_cuomo   Jul-27-07 01:28 AM   #42 
  - Good. HRC and JE practiced law on opposite sides of the fence.  Perragrande   Jul-27-07 01:15 AM   #40 
  - And well it should be! Edwards is a progressive and people see that.  GreenTea   Jul-27-07 02:20 AM   #44 
  - not at all surprising  wyldwolf   Jul-27-07 05:44 AM   #47 
  - I know at least three Republicans who told me that they would not vote for Hillary Clinton,  blue neen   Jul-27-07 05:52 AM   #48 
  - Consider the possibility they're lying.  Perry Logan   Jul-27-07 06:03 AM   #49 
     - They did vote for Bush and all three have huge cases of "Buyer's Remorse."  blue neen   Jul-27-07 06:09 AM   #50 
  - If not Obama  darboy   Jul-27-07 06:28 AM   #51 
  - Which poll got it right in 2004?  maximusveritas   Jul-27-07 07:09 AM   #52 
  - Most polls show Edwards leading in Iowa. This was one of the polls that had HRC leading...  draft_mario_cuomo   Jul-27-07 02:41 PM   #55 
  - Wow so both Obama and Richardson have commercials going but Richardson is on the upswing (nt)  rinsd   Jul-27-07 10:48 AM   #53 
  - How far can Richardson go in Iowa?  draft_mario_cuomo   Jul-27-07 02:46 PM   #56 
  - My theory all along has been that Iowa will choose Edwards if Gore doesn't get in.  MrSlayer   Jul-27-07 04:38 PM   #59 

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