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Reply #54: He has moved into a tie for 2nd in Nevada with Obama... [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
draft_mario_cuomo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-27-07 02:34 PM
Response to Reply #46
54. He has moved into a tie for 2nd in Nevada with Obama...
Edited on Fri Jul-27-07 02:37 PM by draft_mario_cuomo
I know Obama fans are desperately hoping Edwards will disappear and this will become a race between HRC and BO but unfortunately that pesky Edwards just won't go away. Edwards is leading in Iowa, tied for 2nd in Nevada (and probably ahead of Obama outright now, given the trends in the last NV poll...), 3rd in SC. Only in NH is he struggling, and he is doing okay in SC but needs to improve. In Florida he is only 5 points behind Obama. He is tied with HRC for the lead in Oklahoma and leads in North Carolina (Edwards leads more states than anyone aside from HRC. Obama and Richardson lead only their home states. No one else leads anywhere).

If he wins Iowa that will catapult him to a win or a 2nd in Nevada (remember, NV is two days before NH. The focus will be on NH and momentum will be key in deciding NV). If Obama finishes 3rd or 4th in Iowa and 3rd, or even 4th (Richardson) in Nevada who do you think will be left viable by NH? Obama should be more worried about early state polling right now than Edwards. If he flops in the first two states he may be a non-factor by NH...look at what happened to Dean after a distant 3rd in Iowa and a weak 2nd in NH...
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