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Robert Baer thinks war with Iran may be inevitable [View All]

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moodforaday Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-31-07 07:45 AM
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Robert Baer thinks war with Iran may be inevitable
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...and he reports the Iranians think so, too:


Is a U.S.-Iran War Inevitable? | TIME

You wouldn't be wrong to wonder if Iran hasn't lost its mind seizing the 15 British marines and sailors, and in so doing, handing Bush a casus belli even he couldn't have imagined.

But then again you'd be missing the grim fatalism that has settled over Iran of late, the resigned belief that a war with the U.S. is all but inevitable. This week Iranian diplomats are telling interlocutors that, yes, they realize seizing the Brits could lead to a hot war. But, they point out, it wasn't Iran that started taking hostages it was the U.S., when it arrested five members of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in Erbil in Northern Iraq on January 11. They are diplomats, the Iranians insist. They were in Erbil with the approval of the Kurds and therefore, they argue, are under the protection of the Vienna Convention.

(...)

Add this to the rest of the bad news coming out of the Gulf, and things look pretty grim. The "surge," despite what some claim, has barely made a dent in the violence in Iraq. Our Arab allies are jumping ship, apparently as fast as they can. At the opening of the Arab summit on Wednesday, Saudi King Abdallah accused the U.S of illegally occupying Iraq. The day before, the leader of the United Arab Emirates sent his foreign minister to Tehran to tell the Iranians he would not allow the U.S. to use UAE soil to attack Iran. That leaves us with Kuwait and Iraqi Prime Minister Maliki to face Iran.

I called up an Arab Gulf security official and asked him what he thought about it all. He said the view from his side of the Gulf is that if Iran does not soon release the Brits, a war between the U.S. and Iran is in the cards. "I for one am taking all the cash I can out of my ATM," he said before hanging up.

http://www.time.com/time/world/article/0,8599,1604546,0...


(Robert Baer, ex-CIA, author of "See No Evil"... not my favorite kind of person, having read the book, but he knows what he's talking about. By Baer, see also: "Could a Missing Iranian Spark a War?" http://www.time.com/time/world/article/0,8599,1601814,0... )


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