Reply #44: MUST READ: If Kerry gets the nomination and loses, I could never

[AP]

prove that I was right. That much is true.

However, I think you look back at history, you think hard about what's going on, and there are signs you can look to that help you predict where things are going.

I feel confindent that I understand why Dean and Clark didn't catch on. I could probably write a book about why Gore didn't win. I could write a book about why Clinton did, Dukakis did, Nixon did, etc. etc.

One thing about politics is that, ultimately, it's all done in public. What people do to win is out there (even if they cheat). It can all be read and interpreted. And sometimes the way people think is god's own mystery. But oftentimes, it isn't.

Also, when there's so much money and power at stake, can Democrats afford to fumble around, ignoring history and the obvious signs? I guarantee you the Republicans aren't. Their operation is sophisticated. They have big donors and big corporations with tons of resources not wasting money on the wrong candidates.

My heart sunk when I read this morning a Dean supporter saying about the bat, "I have no more money."

The Democrats rely on unsophisticated voters like us who are going on intution and uninformed opinion to support the party. When we run out of money because we chased the wrong candidate down the rabbit hole, that creates a huge advantage for the Republicans. We're a bunch of cats the best candidate is trying to heard. However, he must try to be as sophisticated, smart, observant and organized as the people in those corporations who control the media and have billions at stake, and who are supporting republicans.