Reply #104: ...

[SaveElmer]

http://2act.org/p/33.html

The % of Nader voters that would have voted for Bush/Gore in a a two-way race:
Gore Bush
47% 21% VNS, largest sample
47% 24% CBS, sample = 85
30% 15% NES, sample = 33.
38% 25% Democratic exit poll
Dem Rep
45% 21% Nader voters / House candidates (NES)
52% 12% Nader voters / Senate candidates (NES)

Nader cites the Democratic poll most often because it indicates the least damage. But it is also one of the least if not the least reliable. Even if the poll is the best indication of Florida voters, without Nader, Gore would have gotten 13% of 97,000 more votes thatn Bush from Nader voters, and would have won by 12,000 votes instead of losing by 537.

Not that Nader cared as he made clear in this interview


Nader Admitted Not Minding Spoiler Role
Sep. 14, 2000
Rolling Stone, #849, Sept.14, 2000
Rolling Stone: "In 1996, you told the New York Times, 'If I really wanted to beat Clinton, I would get out, raise $3 or $4 million, and maybe provide the margin for his defeat. That's not the purpose of this candidacy.' Since you're planning to raise $5 million and run hard this year, does that mean you would not have a problem providing the margin of defeat for Gore?"
Nader: "I would not—not at all."