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Reply #8: Here's what I have to add: [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
Goldmund Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-30-04 02:10 PM
Response to Original message
8. Here's what I have to add:
1) One of the reasons we support Kerry is because we believe the US foreign policy will be different under Kerry than it has been under Bush;

2) OBL has a stake in US foreign policy, for the reasons you listed and more. It's foolish to say that OBL doesn't care what the US foreign policy is -- of course he does, otherwise he "hates us for our freedoms";

Therefore, Osama Bin Laden has a stake in who wins the election.

3) Releasing the tape so close to the election was obviously intended to have an effect on the US election. OBL is not stupid, and he is conscious of consequences of his actions;

4) What effect did OBL want to achieve with this tape? Which candidate did he want to help? He does not have a crystal ball, but he has access to all of the public data that we have. And what does that public data say? It says two things: 1. Whenever a terror threat of some kind is released, Bush gets a bump in the polls (see graph below); and 2. His tape will knock all of the negative Bush stories from last week off the front pages, or at least diminish their profile.



Therefore,

the release of this tape under these circumstances and at this time was clearly an attempt to help Bush win the election.

Let's hope that the American people have been underestimated and can rise above the knee-jerk, reptilian-brain reactions that they have exhibited in the aftermath of 9/11.
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