Nederland
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Mon Apr-05-10 12:36 AM
Response to Reply #51 |
| 55. I guess I wasn't clear |
|
I'm talking about the PAST. What is the temperature trend for the PAST 5 years, PAST 10 years, PAST 20 years, etc.
|
| -This month warmest on satellite record (so far): |
joshcryer |
Feb-02-10 07:02 PM |
#0 |
 -
This DECADE is the warmest ever -- !!! |
defendandprotect |
Feb-02-10 08:37 PM |
#1 |
  -
Very true! But monthly trend are the deniers' crutch. If 2010 is undeniably... |
joshcryer |
Feb-03-10 12:07 AM |
#2 |
| -
Ummmm |
Nederland |
Apr-03-10 12:05 AM |
#36 |
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BS, many of them "question" the warming. |
joshcryer |
Apr-03-10 06:29 AM |
#37 |
| -
Among honest people |
Nederland |
Apr-03-10 10:46 AM |
#40 |
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There exist no credible reason for the cause other than AGW. |
joshcryer |
Apr-03-10 09:18 PM |
#42 |
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I agree |
Nederland |
Apr-04-10 02:20 AM |
#44 |
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I've read the papers on the cloud models, I find nothing particularly bad about them. |
joshcryer |
Apr-04-10 08:44 AM |
#47 |
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Interesting |
Nederland |
Apr-04-10 11:46 PM |
#49 |
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Nonsense. |
joshcryer |
Apr-05-10 12:13 AM |
#50 |
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Am I? |
Nederland |
Apr-05-10 12:26 AM |
#53 |
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Their job is to project, I have no problem with their job. |
joshcryer |
Apr-05-10 12:30 AM |
#54 |
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What makes them impressive? |
Nederland |
Apr-05-10 12:47 AM |
#57 |
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The fact that they model clouds explicitly? |
joshcryer |
Apr-05-10 12:50 AM |
#59 |
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I'm sure they do model clouds explicitly |
Nederland |
Apr-05-10 01:24 AM |
#60 |
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I think it's important to know whether or not they make the best efforts that they can. |
joshcryer |
Apr-05-10 02:59 AM |
#62 |
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And is that the only thing that's important? |
Nederland |
Apr-05-10 03:50 AM |
#65 |
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The models *are* accurate, they're just imperfect. |
joshcryer |
Apr-05-10 07:06 PM |
#66 |
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How do you know? |
Nederland |
Apr-06-10 09:38 AM |
#68 |
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Explicity model in a whole Earth simulation? |
DrGregory |
Oct-03-10 11:19 AM |
#144 |
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Not what I've heard / read |
DrGregory |
Oct-03-10 11:09 AM |
#143 |
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Maybe you hang with a better group of skeptics than I do. |
beardown |
Apr-03-10 10:17 AM |
#38 |
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The "minimalist" skeptics will cite "unknowns" and then magically decide it's a lower bound. |
joshcryer |
Apr-03-10 09:21 PM |
#43 |
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You are the one who is absurd |
Nederland |
Apr-04-10 02:34 AM |
#45 |
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Uh, AGW has only been detectable from the noise for the last 15 fucking years. |
joshcryer |
Apr-04-10 08:34 AM |
#46 |
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I'm not asking about whether or not AGW is detectable |
Nederland |
Apr-04-10 05:08 PM |
#48 |
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You need a 30 year trend to be able to make a projection like that. |
joshcryer |
Apr-05-10 12:15 AM |
#51 |
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I guess I wasn't clear |
Nederland |
Apr-05-10 12:36 AM |
#55 |
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It is relatively flat until the 90s. |
joshcryer |
Apr-05-10 12:50 AM |
#58 |
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Here is the data |
Nederland |
Apr-05-10 01:38 AM |
#61 |
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Certainly not the last 5 years. |
joshcryer |
Apr-05-10 03:10 AM |
#63 |
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Incorrect |
Nederland |
Apr-05-10 03:47 AM |
#64 |
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So that graph is taking a 20 year trend and extrapolating it by 100? |
joshcryer |
Apr-05-10 07:08 PM |
#67 |
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No |
Nederland |
Apr-06-10 09:44 AM |
#69 |
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And something your 1.6C / century claim is neglecting is the fact that CO2 is increasing. |
joshcryer |
Apr-05-10 12:20 AM |
#52 |
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Yes, CO2 is increasing |
Nederland |
Apr-05-10 12:40 AM |
#56 |
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Want to pick on somebody bigger than you? |
kristopher |
Oct-23-10 01:58 PM |
#151 |
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Surely to god, you're |
Bigmack |
Feb-03-10 11:43 AM |
#3 |
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Not at all! It's for my own amusement. |
joshcryer |
Feb-03-10 12:08 PM |
#4 |
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If a tree falls in the forest |
pscot |
Feb-03-10 04:16 PM |
#5 |
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Feb 7th makes this month still warmest on record: |
joshcryer |
Feb-08-10 10:32 PM |
#6 |
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Feb 14th makes this month still warmest on record (despite record snows): |
joshcryer |
Feb-16-10 02:49 AM |
#7 |
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Feb 21st makes this month still warmest on record: |
joshcryer |
Feb-22-10 06:57 PM |
#8 |
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Feb. hottest month on satellite record. |
joshcryer |
Mar-01-10 07:17 PM |
#9 |
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But... TEH SNOW! |
Dead_Parrot |
Mar-01-10 08:57 PM |
#10 |
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Funny part? UAH doesn't measure high latitude temperatures. |
joshcryer |
Mar-01-10 10:53 PM |
#11 |
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March 2nd makes this warmest month on record: |
joshcryer |
Mar-04-10 12:56 AM |
#12 |
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March 7th makes this warmest month on record: |
joshcryer |
Mar-09-10 02:12 AM |
#13 |
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If it's still up there in late April we are really screwed n/t |
n2doc |
Mar-09-10 09:56 AM |
#14 |
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"we are really screwed" |
guardian |
Mar-09-10 11:39 AM |
#15 |
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Here in SoCal I finally reached the point where I gave up altogether |
kestrel91316 |
Mar-09-10 12:44 PM |
#16 |
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If this trend continues then obviously the models were validated. |
joshcryer |
Mar-09-10 02:45 PM |
#17 |
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And if the models are validated, then all the really bad predictions about AGW can't be ignored |
NickB79 |
Mar-09-10 03:27 PM |
#18 |
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Surely the end times are at hand. |
guardian |
Mar-09-10 03:44 PM |
#19 |
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The worst predictions are "only" 3.0C. |
joshcryer |
Mar-09-10 04:19 PM |
#20 |
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Big whoop is right |
guardian |
Mar-09-10 05:38 PM |
#21 |
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What? You were the one saying the apocalypse was coming. |
joshcryer |
Mar-09-10 06:23 PM |
#22 |
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1 - 2 meters is a boatload but it is currently rising by about a foot (31 cm) |
The Croquist |
Mar-09-10 07:27 PM |
#23 |
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Four things. |
beardown |
Apr-03-10 10:35 AM |
#39 |
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delete |
joshcryer |
Mar-15-10 11:31 PM |
#24 |
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March 14th makes this warmest month on record (wow): |
joshcryer |
Mar-15-10 11:32 PM |
#25 |
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Wow, this really ought to be an interesting summer, |
Systematic Chaos |
Mar-16-10 04:07 PM |
#26 |
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Yep, we can look forward to at least a thousand deaths in, say, Chicago and throughout EU. |
joshcryer |
Mar-16-10 05:04 PM |
#27 |
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56F high in Boulder today |
guardian |
Jun-13-10 02:35 PM |
#102 |
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Fuck off. |
joshcryer |
Jun-14-10 01:51 AM |
#103 |
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March 21st makes this warmest month on record (but it's cooling!) |
joshcryer |
Mar-23-10 12:44 AM |
#28 |
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I won't be happy until that orange line goes as low or lower than the hot pink line... |
Systematic Chaos |
Mar-23-10 09:51 AM |
#29 |
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FYI: |
Viking12 |
Mar-23-10 10:06 AM |
#30 |
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Yes but the overall trend cannot deviate much from the average. |
joshcryer |
Mar-23-10 10:31 PM |
#31 |
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March 27th makes this warmest month on record (slight uptick). |
joshcryer |
Mar-29-10 05:23 AM |
#32 |
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March was warmest month on satellite record: |
joshcryer |
Apr-02-10 02:19 PM |
#33 |
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March, 2010 is to the rest of the satellite record... |
Systematic Chaos |
Apr-02-10 05:29 PM |
#34 |
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Pretty much. This is going to be a tough year. |
joshcryer |
Apr-02-10 06:56 PM |
#35 |
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April 1st makes this warmest month on record: |
joshcryer |
Apr-03-10 11:26 AM |
#41 |
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April 7th makes this warmest month on record: |
joshcryer |
Apr-08-10 09:47 PM |
#70 |
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Above the previous maximum for the past 4 months straight now |
NickB79 |
Apr-08-10 10:32 PM |
#71 |
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It's tighening a bit, but was expected. Should stay above the rest. |
joshcryer |
Apr-08-10 11:48 PM |
#72 |
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The "tightening" has untightened. Your next post of the graph should reflect this. |
Systematic Chaos |
Apr-12-10 07:34 AM |
#75 |
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The one thing I don't like about these graphs |
OnlinePoker |
Apr-09-10 08:27 AM |
#73 |
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Yeah, it is a bit annoying. |
joshcryer |
Apr-11-10 10:20 PM |
#74 |
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April 14th, cooler than 2005. 2nd warmest month on record. Damn volcanos. |
joshcryer |
Apr-16-10 12:11 PM |
#76 |
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April 21st makes this warmest month on record (warm spike): |
joshcryer |
Apr-23-10 02:38 PM |
#77 |
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I KNEW this was going to happen. |
Systematic Chaos |
Apr-23-10 06:16 PM |
#78 |
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Yep, going to be an interesting summer. |
joshcryer |
Apr-25-10 08:10 PM |
#79 |
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April 27st makes this warmest month on record (up up and away!): |
joshcryer |
Apr-29-10 06:21 AM |
#80 |
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Looks like we'll break the record for a 12-month period that we set only last month. |
Viking12 |
Apr-29-10 10:37 AM |
#81 |
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Yeah, warmest first quarter in modern history, by all accounts. |
joshcryer |
Apr-30-10 12:42 AM |
#82 |
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April was warmest month on record (by far): |
joshcryer |
May-02-10 04:25 PM |
#83 |
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May 1st makes this warmest month on record (pop goes the weasel): |
joshcryer |
May-03-10 05:01 PM |
#84 |
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May 7th makes this warmest month on record (summer beckons): |
joshcryer |
May-09-10 06:02 AM |
#85 |
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It just won't give up, will it? |
Systematic Chaos |
May-10-10 04:23 PM |
#86 |
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No sign of slowing down either. |
joshcryer |
May-10-10 11:40 PM |
#87 |
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May 14th makes this warmest month on record (don't worry, we got it under control): |
joshcryer |
May-16-10 06:11 AM |
#88 |
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May 21st makes this warmest month on record: |
joshcryer |
May-23-10 02:44 AM |
#89 |
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So far that "prediction" line is holding pretty true. |
Systematic Chaos |
May-31-10 01:59 AM |
#90 |
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Yep. :( Here's May 29th (forgot to update): |
joshcryer |
May-31-10 05:33 AM |
#91 |
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Here's a gif animation (2 sec delay): |
joshcryer |
May-31-10 05:48 AM |
#92 |
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May was warmest month on record (by far and away): |
joshcryer |
Jun-02-10 08:08 AM |
#93 |
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June 1st makes this warmest month on record: |
joshcryer |
Jun-03-10 11:44 AM |
#94 |
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The Orange Line of Terror (tm) is drawing a LITTLE closer to its brethren on the graph. |
Systematic Chaos |
Jun-07-10 03:44 AM |
#95 |
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I think it's in for another spike. |
joshcryer |
Jun-08-10 11:52 AM |
#96 |
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June 7th makes this warmest month on record: |
joshcryer |
Jun-08-10 08:30 PM |
#97 |
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The numbers are somewhat deceiving |
The Croquist |
Jun-09-10 09:00 AM |
#98 |
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Where are you getting your data? |
joshcryer |
Jun-09-10 01:39 PM |
#99 |
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I found the source, you are correct. |
joshcryer |
Jun-09-10 01:46 PM |
#100 |
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Sorry. I didn't mean to infer that you were deceiving |
The Croquist |
Jun-09-10 03:20 PM |
#101 |
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delete |
joshcryer |
Sep-03-10 09:05 AM |
#134 |
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delete |
joshcryer |
Jun-15-10 05:42 PM |
#104 |
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This may become the 2nd thread that never dies |
pscot |
Jun-15-10 05:52 PM |
#105 |
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Hehe, sorry for bumping it, I didn't realize they hadn't yet updated for the 14th. |
joshcryer |
Jun-15-10 05:54 PM |
#106 |
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June 14th makes this warmest month this decade: |
joshcryer |
Jun-15-10 07:19 PM |
#107 |
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Thank you. |
The Croquist |
Jun-24-10 09:12 AM |
#110 |
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June 22nd makes this warmest month this decade: |
joshcryer |
Jun-24-10 02:01 AM |
#108 |
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Congratulations, and thanks for the update |
XemaSab |
Jun-24-10 02:41 AM |
#109 |
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June 28th makes this warmest month this decade: |
joshcryer |
Jun-30-10 02:36 AM |
#111 |
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Not in the Pacific Northwest. |
AtheistCrusader |
Jul-01-10 01:34 AM |
#112 |
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June was warmest month this decade: |
joshcryer |
Jul-02-10 05:24 AM |
#113 |
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Looks like the line will have no problem staying above the blue outlier coming up. |
Systematic Chaos |
Jul-02-10 07:04 AM |
#114 |
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That graph only shows 1998 data from August 1 onward |
Viking12 |
Jul-02-10 07:17 AM |
#115 |
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The unofficial UAH June number is +0.436 C. |
The Croquist |
Jul-06-10 06:26 AM |
#116 |
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July 7th makes this warmest month this decade (but can we beat 2009?): |
joshcryer |
Jul-09-10 03:21 PM |
#117 |
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July 14th makes this warmest month this decade (and yep, we might just beat 2009): |
joshcryer |
Jul-16-10 10:10 AM |
#118 |
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With ease. |
Systematic Chaos |
Jul-17-10 07:33 AM |
#119 |
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July 21st makes this warmest month this decade: |
joshcryer |
Jul-23-10 01:11 AM |
#120 |
| -
July 28th makes this warmest month this decade: |
joshcryer |
Jul-30-10 02:09 PM |
#121 |
| -
August 1st makes this warmest month this decade: |
joshcryer |
Aug-02-10 11:50 PM |
#122 |
| -
Unofficial UAH July temperature: |
The Croquist |
Aug-03-10 09:53 AM |
#123 |
| -
The gap closed from June to July by .029. |
joshcryer |
Aug-03-10 12:28 PM |
#124 |
| -
August 7th makes this warmest month on record: |
joshcryer |
Aug-08-10 06:48 PM |
#125 |
| -
1998, 2009, 2010 |
joshcryer |
Aug-08-10 06:51 PM |
#126 |
| -
August 14th makes this warmest month on record: |
joshcryer |
Aug-15-10 10:41 PM |
#127 |
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Update this week? nt |
emmadoggy |
Aug-24-10 12:19 AM |
#128 |
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They were like 3 days behind with updating, but I guess they caught up, weird. |
joshcryer |
Aug-24-10 12:59 AM |
#130 |
| -
August 22nd makes this warmest month on record: |
joshcryer |
Aug-24-10 12:58 AM |
#129 |
| -
August 28th makes this warmest month on record (exciting!): |
joshcryer |
Aug-30-10 02:25 AM |
#131 |
| -
It could be caused by the La Nina |
The Croquist |
Aug-30-10 06:40 AM |
#132 |
| -
August 31st makes August warmest on record: |
joshcryer |
Sep-01-10 09:37 PM |
#133 |
| -
September 1st makes this warmest month on record: |
joshcryer |
Sep-03-10 09:08 AM |
#135 |
| -
Gap closed again by .02: |
joshcryer |
Sep-03-10 09:13 AM |
#136 |
| -
September 7th makes this warmest month on record: |
joshcryer |
Sep-09-10 08:08 AM |
#137 |
| -
September 14th makes this second warmest month on record (still warmer than 1998): |
joshcryer |
Sep-16-10 02:40 AM |
#138 |
| -
But the gap between July and August did not close much at all: |
joshcryer |
Sep-16-10 02:56 AM |
#139 |
| -
September 21st makes this second warmest month on record (still warmer than 1998): |
joshcryer |
Sep-22-10 08:23 PM |
#140 |
| -
September 28th makes this warmest month on record: |
joshcryer |
Sep-30-10 03:43 AM |
#141 |
| -
October 1st makes this warmest month on record: |
joshcryer |
Oct-02-10 08:37 PM |
#142 |
| -
October 7st makes this warmest month on record: |
joshcryer |
Oct-08-10 07:19 PM |
#145 |
| -
October 14th makes this warmest month on record: |
joshcryer |
Oct-16-10 12:05 AM |
#146 |
| -
Even with last year, sorta-kinda, but CRUSHING 1998. |
Systematic Chaos |
Oct-16-10 12:58 AM |
#147 |
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Thanks, that reminds me, Sept. temps should be on the ASMU site... |
joshcryer |
Oct-16-10 01:21 AM |
#148 |
| -
August was 0.061, September was 0.038, the gap closed by 0.023 C. |
joshcryer |
Oct-16-10 01:34 AM |
#149 |
| -
October 21st makes this warmest month on record: |
joshcryer |
Oct-22-10 08:19 PM |
#150 |
| -
October 28th tied three months this past decade, warmer than 1998: |
joshcryer |
Oct-30-10 04:07 AM |
#152 |
| -
Oct. was warmest month on record, Nov. looking to take over: |
joshcryer |
Nov-02-10 08:08 PM |
#153 |
| -
92º in L.A. tomorrow. In November. |
wtmusic |
Nov-02-10 09:30 PM |
#154 |
| -
:( |
joshcryer |
Nov-03-10 07:26 PM |
#159 |
| -
According to my calculations, an avg anomaly of 0.4 over OctNovDec would make 2010 warmer than 1998 |
Viking12 |
Nov-03-10 03:19 PM |
#155 |
| -
Interesting. |
joshcryer |
Nov-03-10 07:26 PM |
#157 |
| -
Mini heat wave in SoCal right now, 3 days of mid-to-upper 90's....... |
kestrel91316 |
Nov-03-10 05:26 PM |
#156 |
| -
I almost envy you. Where's our global warming in CO! |
joshcryer |
Nov-03-10 07:26 PM |
#158 |
| -
I've noticed |
Nihil |
Nov-04-10 04:42 AM |
#160 |
| -
extremely warm and dry up here in montana still! |
meow mix |
Nov-04-10 08:53 AM |
#161 |
| -
Nov. 7th makes this warmest month on record (whoa): |
joshcryer |
Nov-09-10 12:24 AM |
#162 |
| -
The gap between Sept. and Oct. did not close at all though. |
joshcryer |
Nov-11-10 09:19 PM |
#163 |
| -
Just wait for the next solar maximum. |
Systematic Chaos |
Nov-14-10 07:49 AM |
#164 |
| -
Nov. 14th makes this warmest month on record: |
joshcryer |
Nov-15-10 05:37 PM |
#165 |
| -
Nov. 21st big drop: |
joshcryer |
Nov-22-10 08:59 PM |
#166 |
| -
When you talk warmer than '98, do you mean the whole year? |
OnlinePoker |
Nov-23-10 08:03 PM |
#167 |
| -
The graph doesn't have the full 1998 year. |
joshcryer |
Nov-23-10 08:59 PM |
#168 |
| -
Nov. in top 5 warmest months on record, Dec. looking to keep the pace: |
joshcryer |
Dec-02-10 05:59 PM |
#169 |
| -
Nov. 2010 UAH Global Temperature Update: +0.38 deg. C |
joshcryer |
Dec-05-10 06:03 AM |
#170 |
| -
Dec 10: |
joshcryer |
Dec-11-10 09:15 PM |
#171 |
| -
Dec. 14: |
joshcryer |
Dec-16-10 02:16 AM |
#172 |
| -
Gap between Oct-Nov: |
joshcryer |
Dec-16-10 02:24 AM |
#173 |
| -
New "Improved" UAH 30 year base numbers |
The Croquist |
Jan-07-11 11:05 AM |
#178 |
| -
Heh, heh, remember kids, while it might be cold in your neighborhood, it ain't necessarily... |
joshcryer |
Dec-18-10 04:36 AM |
#174 |
| -
Looks like 1998 will reign supreme... I'll update next year with a more comprehensive post. |
joshcryer |
Dec-30-10 06:33 PM |
#175 |
| -
2010: probably the hottest year ever recorded |
Amonester |
Dec-31-10 03:49 PM |
#176 |
| -
If you're wondering why I haven't updated, the app is broken due to missing data. |
joshcryer |
Jan-05-11 05:00 PM |
#177 |
| -
Nothing new, just bumping this to keep from falling into the archive. If they ever fix the site... |
joshcryer |
Feb-04-11 01:25 AM |
#179 |
| -
It's been a year and two days since the posting of the thread |
XemaSab |
Feb-04-11 02:26 AM |
#180 |
| -
Does this help? |
XemaSab |
Feb-04-11 06:18 AM |
#181 |
| -
Heh. |
joshcryer |
Feb-04-11 04:22 PM |
#182 |
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