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David_REE Donating Member (51 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-23-03 03:14 PM
Response to Reply #4
7. Always
They are always more accurate than polls taken on the same day. A Sept 23 2003 market is more accurate than a Sept 23 2003 poll.

A Oct 23 2004 market will be more accurate than the poll taken the same day.

The real question is... how far in advance is the market more accurate than the polls? Hard to say.

But if you want to know how your candidate has faired, pull up the graph for his history. You'll see Edwards was a lot stronger at some point. He may be able to regain that.
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  -Clark overtakes Dean in political odds market (attn goobergunch, jiacinto) David_REE  Sep-23-03 01:15 AM   #0 
  - Field includes Clark, Kucinich, Gore, Biden, Graham, etc (NT)  stickdog   Sep-23-03 02:21 AM   #1 
  - Yes, but the value represents the strongest one, not the sum.  David_REE   Sep-23-03 02:25 AM   #2 
  - I seem to be the only one here who bets politics  AwsieDooger   Sep-23-03 06:23 AM   #3 
  - How does one get involved? n/t  David_REE   Sep-23-03 03:12 PM   #6 
     - I'm not sure what you're referring to  AwsieDooger   Sep-24-03 04:32 AM   #11 
  - When?  renie408   Sep-23-03 06:31 AM   #4 
  - Always  David_REE   Sep-23-03 03:14 PM   #7 
  - Gamblers can often be more reliable than polls  goobergunch   Sep-23-03 07:24 AM   #5 
  - Fascinating isn't it?  David_REE   Sep-23-03 03:15 PM   #8 
  - Here's a major screwup by political gamblers and an offshore book:  AwsieDooger   Sep-24-03 05:39 AM   #12 
  - It does seem to skew to the right a bit  goobergunch   Sep-23-03 03:46 PM   #9 
     - Perhaps, or...  David_REE   Sep-23-03 04:18 PM   #10 
 

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