Reply #15: I agree, Dallas has every advantage vs. the Dolphins

[Awsi Dooger]

And I think the -3 impost on this game is very reasonable indeed.

Especially since the game will be played on artificial turf and Miami is coming off 2+ straight on grass and a win, similar to Carolina vs. Dallas last week. Trust me, that situation is EXTREMELY unfavorable to the road team, to the tune of a 70+% likelihood the home team will overcome a pointspread of underdog up to 3-point favorite. It is one of my best homemade angles on pro football.

Plus, Miami cannot block the Cowboys defensive front. The media has not been emphasizing how lame the Dolphin offensive line is this season, accounting for Ricky's subpar numbers. Top lineman Mark Dixon has not played a down all year, and guard Jamie Nails is far below his 2002 form after Achilles tendon surgery.

Last week, Miami's offensive line was: vulnerable 3rd round rookie Wade Smith at left tackle, converted center Seth McKinney at left guard, aging mediocrity Tim Ruddy at center, journeyman Greg Jerman at right guard, and steady but unspectacular Todd Wade at right tackle. That group has no shot to move the aggressive Cowboy DL, and in Fiedler's first road start after injury I expect him to be pressured into mistakes.