Reply #55: Exactly

[darkstar]

That's what I meant by mixed blessing in other thread. Jindal got his solid 22-24 % in North La in primary Blanco did very poorly there. Single digits. Hence, the *possibility* that there are *some* consevos who could not bring themselves to vote for him. And like you, hate to see the win come from that. My fear is this is the old silent majority speaking. Hell, she had fallen out of MOE week before last week, crept back in and things were fairly even late this week, nothing showing her beyond MOE like this.

Having said that, I think things may well tighten. Baton Rouge will likely be very tight. Some black vote siphoned off in N.O. from Mayor Nagin endorsement. And we're not sure what proportion of the rural vote thay are mentioning as being in is from Blanco's stronghold of SW LA

BTW, from N LA living in south, and not meaning to paint w/ too broad a brush up top; but after all it is conservative voters up north I'm talking about.

As I typed, tightening occured. 48% in, now 52/48 Blanco.

Home parish of Lafayette reporting. 56/44 in parish w/ 25% of parish in.