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NO poll bounce from the Uday/Qusay deaths. PREDICT 50% by Aug. 20th. [View All]

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Brotherjohn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-23-03 02:58 PM
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NO poll bounce from the Uday/Qusay deaths. PREDICT 50% by Aug. 20th.
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I don't buy the line I've read here several times already that Bush's slide in the polls will be reversed (if only temporarily) by the deaths of Saddam's sons. If anything, the trust issue has exploded in the last couple of weeks and poll numbers just coming out show a "down-tick", even from the usual decline. Every poll conducted since July 10th has his numbers in the 50s. (http://www.pollingreport.com/BushJob.htm )

At best, I think Bush can expect a temporary levelling off of his numbers for a week or two.

PREDICTION: The first major poll (as reported by Pollingreport.com) to have Bush's approval falling below 50% will occur by August 20th. By September 20th, all major polls will have him at or below 50%. New war or not. Terrorist attack or not. Saddam / Osama dead or not. I think his trust is shot with a majority of voters, and our boys keep coming home in body bags.
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  -NO poll bounce from the Uday/Qusay deaths. PREDICT 50% by Aug. 20th. Brotherjohn  Jul-23-03 02:58 PM   #0 
  - in ABC's insider newsletter...  grasswire   Jul-23-03 03:03 PM   #1 
  - Was that conversation before Saddam's sons' demise?  diplomats   Jul-23-03 04:04 PM   #11 
  - The Democrats need to challenge his integrity at every given  lcordero   Jul-23-03 03:07 PM   #2 
  - Why does it take deaths  StClone   Jul-23-03 03:08 PM   #3 
  - You may be wrong  Frances   Jul-23-03 03:09 PM   #4 
  - I agree. The Saddam's Son's story is done  Beetwasher   Jul-23-03 03:10 PM   #5 
  - the fact that U.S. troops will continue to be killed  ima_sinnic   Jul-23-03 03:13 PM   #6 
  - As long as casualty figures mount  freddie57   Jul-23-03 03:14 PM   #7 
  - I'm surprised so many here agree!  Brotherjohn   Jul-23-03 03:31 PM   #8 
  - My Model Says 45% by Labor Day  ProfessorGAC   Jul-23-03 03:38 PM   #9 
  - Prof, do you think the killing of the sons will have any bounce effect?  Beetwasher   Jul-23-03 03:47 PM   #10 
  - And if you check the trend on www.pollkatz.com  diplomats   Jul-23-03 04:06 PM   #12 
  - The problem for Bu$hCo  DoYouEverWonder   Jul-23-03 04:13 PM   #13 
 

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