Should Iraq be partitioned?

[quaoar]

It's my opinion that Iraq is the Yugoslavia of the Middle East -- a nation of very different peoples that was artifically created and held together by brute force.

Iraq is not going to become a stable democracy. It will fly apart. The insurgency is being driven not just by our occupation but also by Sunni fears of living in a Shiite-dominated state. In any fair election, the Shiites will control the government and the Sunnis fear payback for the decades of repression they practiced.

The Kurds have run their own affairs for the last 12 years and are not inclined to give that up for the glory of Greater Iraq. They have kept their own militias and are not about to disarm. The Kurds will be willing to accept for now a confederation status that gives them autonomy, but even that won't last. The Kurds will pick the right moment to bolt and then declare their independence. Iraq is too weak to stop it and Turkey will have to think hard before intervening for fear of setting off a wider Kurdish rebellion throughout eastern Turkey.

So the question is -- should we convene an international conference for the purpose of dividing Iraq into two or perhaps three nations?