Reply #12: Only 3 of those polls are post-convention.

[TexasSissy]

And all of them have Bush ahead, I'm sorry to point out. And two of them have Bush in a ten point lead. Iwasn't aware of that. Bummer.

Newsweek 9/3.... Bush 52 Kerry 41 (B+11)
Time 9/2...... Bush 52 Kerry 42 (B+10)
Zogby 9/2.... Bush 46 Kerry 43 (B+3)

Let's compare with post-DNC:
Newsweek 7/31..... Bush 44 Kerry 52 (K+8)
Time 8/5..... Bush 43 Kerry 51 (K+8)
Zogby 7/26-29.....Bush 41 Kerry 46 (K+5)

Hey, looks like they are about the same! Okay, so Bush broke the ten point barrier...THAT DOESN'T MEAN HE GOT A 10 POINT BOUNCE! It looks like he got an 8 point bounce AND Kerry dropped.

Don't let the media blow this out of proportion, though. They got carried away with Howard Dean, too, remember? They ALL thought Dean was the shoe-in for the nominee. They are apparently short-sighted and not infused with history.